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581 Game Rules

Hollywood has become the field of Wall Street. Under Wall Street's surveillance, major film companies have gradually been corroded by the core idea of ​​interests first, resulting in the continuous decline in the quality of film works themselves. At the same time, the importance of artistic works has also declined, which has led to a large number of talented filmmakers being ignored, forming a vicious cycle, making the film market a treasure pot but losing its vitality.

Therefore, film companies like DreamWorks, New Line, MGM, and Lionsgate have been working hard to maintain their own characteristics. It is not that they do not value revenue, but that they create excellent works according to their own ideas and drive the market to revitalize new vitality.

However, the lack of Wall Street funds injected has also made film companies bear risks alone, with low fault tolerance and high failure rate. On the one hand, they need a large amount of funds as a backing; on the other hand, they need to resist the large influx of Wall Street funds. This is a contradiction.

If you rely solely on movies to generate income, the original accumulation speed is too slow and the failure rate is too high. If you want to complete the accumulation by betting on betting, it is not difficult for a reborn person like Lance, but it is too eye-catching and it is easy to produce unnecessary chain negative effects.

Now, Lance's idea is to abide by the rules of the game of Wall Street and fight back against Wall Street in the way of Wall Street, and to maximize the advantages of rebirth. For ordinary people, the rules of the game are the framework that binds them; but for those upper-level elites, the rules of the game are their means to achieve their goals.

"So, you want us to be short." Theo's words summarized all Lance's ideas.

The so-called short sellers are actually not difficult to explain. Because they do not have any cdo in their hands, but they buy insurance for the cdo collapse. Simply put, when a person buys a house, the house is damaged, and the parties can claim compensation and the losses are compensated. But now Lance has not bought a house, but has only bought insurance for a house, and has also bought 100 or 1,000 copies. This means that the house will definitely be damaged or even collapsed when gambling. Once the house is broken, Lance can win profits.

It's called shorts.

Lance nodded and expressed his affirmation, "Yes, that's what it means." He made a fortune from nothing.

However, Theo and Ian fell into deep thought again. Ian's brows stretched slightly and looked forward at Lance, "Do you know what shorts mean?" Lance was not good at these things, and the three brothers knew that Ian was also puzzled at this time why Lance had such an idea, and it was so professional, so bold and so risky. "If the real estate does not collapse, we must continue to invest money in it, which is likely to trap the entire company's working capital, and may even mortgage the company to the bank to borrow."

After short selling, if the house is not damaged, the insurance must continue to pay, and the more you buy, the more you invest. In other words, if the real estate continues to be strong, Chaos Pictures will be directly trapped or even bankrupt due to Lance's decision.

Judging from the current form, the real estate situation is very good, and no one believes that real estate will collapse.

Lance was speechless. After all, this was not his profession. He could not flexibly use his head. Most of the information was copied from the "big short sellers". If it weren't for facing the three people in front of him, Lance would not dare to say this proposal. But now? How should he explain it now?

You can't just say, "Hey, I'm reborn, so I know what's going on, but I can't explain it clearly."

Ian looked at Lance, and the doubts in his eyes not only did not dissipate, but also became stronger and stronger. "Lance, have you heard some inside news that the floating interest rate is about to rise?"

The so-called floating interest rate increase is actually a bank's regulatory method. Because the number of people defaulting, in order to control the number of people who follow up loans, the floating interest rate was raised, which means that the interest to be paid in the past two years has increased; at the same time, those who had already borrowed loans to buy a house several years ago now need to submit interest rates, resulting in more and more people defaulting, and the CDO with poor credit is about to lose money. This is a sign of the collapse of the real estate industry.

Historically, Michael Bry only predicted this from the data. He accurately predicted that the floating interest rate would be raised in the second quarter of 2007, so he began to short it. But no one except him discovered this, or, in other words, no one believed it.

Faced with Ian's problem, Lance thought deeply, then shook his head, because there was no insider information at all. Ian knew it after asking a little, "Do you remember that I stayed in Austin for so long in the second half of last year?" Lance decided to say from another perspective, "A strange thing happened to the house I rented for a short period of time. The bank actually sent a loan call, but I paid the rent on time every month. It was impossible for the owner to have no funds to pay the loan. I called the owner and he did not answer my phone number. Since I was just short-term rent, I didn't care. But later I unexpectedly discovered that this was not a separate incident, but a common incident. At least six families were like this on the entire street."

"Later, in order to film the scenes of prostitutes/girls, we invited local undresses/dances/women to come to the crew for class. During the chat, I realized that each of them owns multiple properties, and the most of them had ten houses." With Lance's words, the surprise on Ian's face became more and more obvious, and it was almost impossible to hide it.

"What does this mean?" Gao Wen couldn't help but interrupt and asked.

Theo said in a deep voice, "The purchase phenomenon of poor credit users is too serious and has exceeded the load benchmark."

"But even so, this cannot prove that real estate is about to collapse." After Ian reacted, his thoughts became more and more surging, and questions emerged one after another. "The credit assessment of rating agencies cannot be false, and government supervision will definitely not let it go. The most important thing is that if a large number of housing loan defaults have occurred, then the CDO will inevitably fluctuate, but the CDO prices of major investment banks are still high and are even rising. Also, even if the commission chain is too long, banks cannot not review it, and they will inevitably re-statute every month..." Ian elaborated endlessly, and could clearly feel that the entire real estate is a huge industrial chain, and the regulatory system comes layer by layer, which also gives people enough reason to believe: there will be no problems. If there is a problem, there will definitely be some early warning, otherwise this will be a national-level financial crisis.

But this is exactly the terrifying thing about this subprime mortgage financial crisis. Only four groups of people believe it. Among so many elites on Wall Street, only four groups of people have successfully escaped.

Lance did not speak out further, on the one hand, he couldn't explain it, on the other hand, because he knew how incredible things were. So he just looked at Ian quietly.

Ian noticed Lance's gaze, broke free from his thoughts, then looked at Lance blankly, and finally the smile on his lips was outlined involuntarily, absurd and helpless, "Lancelot, you still said I am a lunatic, you are the real lunatic." Compared to acquiring Marvel, betting on betting on US real estate will collapse, which is simply the craziest gambling in history.

Lance shrugged, but smiled without saying a word. He was not sure to convince Theo, Ian and Gao Wen. Because of thinking from the perspective of others, a layman came over to convince him how to shoot a movie, and he was unwilling to listen to each other's opinions. The only thing he could hold was the wisdom of the three brothers and the trust.

Ian let out a long sigh, leaned on the back of the chair, and looked at Theo, "What do you think?"

Theo didn't say anything, his face fell into thinking with a serious expression. Gao Wen, who was sitting next to him, looked at Theo, then looked at Ian, and finally said, "I believe in Lance." Such a simple sentence made Lance feel the immense weight. He chuckled and shook his head, "Gaven, I'm not always right."

"I know." Gao Wen nodded seriously, "But you'd better be right." After saying that, he laughed loudly.

Ian asked again, "What do you think?" The person asked was still Theo.

Theo raised his eyes and said calmly, "You have always been more bold than me, aren't you?"

Ian suddenly remembered that day, and they decided to continue to form a family, and the day Theo obtained their legal custody, the smile on the corner of his mouth rose, and his eyes fell on Lance, "Gao Wen is right, you'd better be right." Things came to a conclusion, and the seemingly impossible proposal was decided like this.

The smile in Lance's eyes spread like this, but Ian immediately raised his index finger with his right hand, "But, but..." He stopped Lance's words, "We need to go to various cities to conduct further investigations. Gao Wen is on vacation recently, and this matter is just for you to do. See if the mortgage situation of poor creditors is partial or has spread."

Gao Wen immediately began to get ready and patted his chest, "I am best at traveling all over the country." As a professional athlete, they compete in various parts of the United States in the regular season, so it is naturally no stranger to him.

"Also, the company cannot stop operating. You will list your next filming plan as soon as possible. There is also the thing you said the day before yesterday, and the list of works worthy of attention in the distribution department." Before Ian could say anything, Lance showed a big smile, which made Ian's words interrupted. He rolled his eyes angrily, "Don't do this with me. If you find that things are not done after investigation, Theo and I will not agree."

But Kolans ignored Ian and turned to look at Theo, showing a smug smile. Looking at the flashing light of Lance's eyes, with a hint of flattery and a hint of cunning, the corners of Theo's mouth also gently raised.

...

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Chapter completed!
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