Soon, such a post appeared on the Tianya Community Children's Forum.

"A deep analysis of "The Wolf is Coming" and come and watch it quickly."

"I just said that the fairy tale "The Wolf is Coming" has hidden mystery. Now the poster will analyze it. Are you all ready?"

"Owner, don't be moji, hurry up!"

"That's right, don't talk so much nonsense!"

"It seems that everyone can't wait any longer, so just add some information.

First, from probability analysis, the reason why the farmer did not go up the mountain for the third time.

The farmer heard the child shouting, "The wolf is coming."

I heard it for the first time, because it was my first time, out of trust, I thought it was true, so I went up the mountain.

The second time I heard that after being deceived for the first time, the farmer thought that the probability was only one-half, but the probability was higher, so he went up the mountain again.

The third time I heard that after being deceived in the first two times, the farmer thought it was only one-third the probability, and the probability was low. So I didn’t go up the mountain.

To sum up the analysis: Because the farmer has a simple and kind nature, he helped him go up the mountain the first two times. However, he was very angry when he was deceived twice. When the third time it was difficult to distinguish between true and false, the farmer thought that the probability was low, so he did not go up the mountain.

This is actually an emotional factor, which influenced his judgment on the value of his behavior. It was the third time he did not go up the mountain.

This also shows that people have selfish and indifferent sides.”

"I admire the poster, even the probability problem has come out."

"The author's analysis makes sense, but I don't agree. I think the third time I didn't go up the mountain was not because of people's selfishness and indifference. After being deceived twice, everyone would think that the third time was also fake. It is understandable that the farmer didn't go up the mountain."

"Agree to the upstairs, the owner is too arbitrary."

"The upstairs upstairs are right, it is understandable that the farmer did not go up the mountain. If you want to blame, you can only blame the naughty child himself."

"Don't worry, everyone, you will not think so after this poster has analyzed it."

"Then you guys, please continue talking!"

"That's right, you keep going, let's watch."

"Haole, dear readers, listen to the poster continue.

Let's analyze it based on the severity of the outcome:

1. The third time the "Wolf is here" is true: the result will threaten the lives of children and sheep.

2. The third time the "Wolf is here" is false: the result is just to lose the farmer's physical strength and time.

Through the comparison of the severity of the results, we can see that the result of ‘2’ is relatively insignificant compared to ‘1’.

No matter how many times ‘2’ occurs, it cannot be compared with ‘1’.

Because life is the most precious.

We must certainly educate our children to be honest; we must educate our children not to joke about major things like ourselves and others' lives.

But what we need to see more is that for adults, no one is perfect, and children cannot ignore their lives just because of their lies and ignorance. No matter how many times they are deceived, they should go to rescue them.

Because as long as it is true once, no matter how much energy and time we waste, it is worth it.

I think we should also realize that when our lives or others are threatened and we cannot judge the authenticity, we would rather believe that they are not.

Okay, dear readers. The author’s analysis has ended here. It may not be all correct, so everyone can discuss it."

"Oh, I've completely knelt down to the poster. You can see so many things in a fairy tale."

"The poster is indeed a sage, and what he said is indeed reasonable."

"So, this fairy tale not only needs to educate children, but also educate us parents?"

"Who is this author? Come out, I promise not to hit you."

"The author has this meaning, or are we thinking too much?"

"I picked up the magazine silently and prepared to read it again."

“…”

When Li Fan saw this, he could only smile bitterly in his heart.

It's true that you're thinking too much.

Who are the people in this forum? They have studied it so thoroughly. They are not allowed to write a book well.

However, these are classics that have been passed down for thousands of years, and are indeed worthy of your careful study.

As for what results you get, it doesn't matter.

Because no matter what kind of result is, there is no right or wrong. It’s just that everyone has different perceptions.

...

In a high-end apartment in the provincial capital.

A middle-aged man in his 40s was sitting on the sofa.

Holding a book "Funny Children" in my hand, frowned slightly, as if thinking about something.

"Lao Yang, what are you thinking?" a beautiful woman in her 30s came over and asked.

The middle-aged man raised the book in his hand and said, "Oh, there are a few stories in it that are well written."

The beautiful woman sat on the sofa opposite, picked up an apple, and said while cutting it: "You are talking about the articles "The Tortoise and the Hare Race". The online reviews are also very good. I see, maybe he is your opponent."

The middle-aged man smiled faintly and said, "Again? It's too early to say this now. It's just a few excellent short stories. Sometimes it only takes one inspiration. Let's see how the quality of his next work is."

"Is that?" asked the beautiful woman, "what would you do if he is really qualified to be your opponent?"

The middle-aged man snorted coldly: "What should I do? Just hit him directly. Until he is no longer qualified and becomes my opponent."

The beautiful woman said intimately, it was true.

"But he is just a newcomer."

The middle-aged man shook his head and said, "In my eyes, there are only opponents, no newcomers. Moreover, since he can become my opponent, it means that he is not an ordinary newcomer."

After the middle-aged man said that, he got up and walked towards the study.

The beautiful woman looked at the middle-aged man's back and sighed softly.

There are only fairy tales and opponents in his eyes. If someone can become his opponent, he will beat the opponents at all costs.

There are two reasons why he did this. One is that he did not allow it, and his current status as the number one person in fairy tales is threatened; the other is that he also regards this as his only pleasure. As for how the outside world will evaluate this, he never cared.

As long as the outside world recognizes his status as the number one person in fairy tales, that's enough.

"Oh, if he could let go of the vanity of the first person in fairy tale, his future achievements might be greater than he is now."

The beautiful woman can only sigh in her heart.

Middle-aged people came to the study, and most of the books here were related to fairy tales.

Lighting a cigarette, he continued to read the "Fun Children" in his hand.

"From these fairy tales, you are a genius writer. I hope you can really become my opponent. I have been lonely for a long time. My long fairy tale that I have been preparing for for many years has been waiting for an opponent. Now, it is finally coming."

This middle-aged man is Yang Jie, known as the "Little Fairy Tale King".

This is what the outside world calls him.

Most of his colleagues called him a "fairy tale madman" and his views on him were mixed.

...

In the qd group of "Sunshine Authors".

"What do you think of the new author of Fun?" Several authors in this group all changed from Fun to Sunshine a year ago.

"It's okay, I guess I'm counting on him now."

"I didn't expect the fun to come alive."

"It's too early to survive, but he, a newcomer, can still support the world."

"If he can really support the sky, someone will make him unable to support it."

"I think this may be just a conspiracy of Tang Quan. Those fairy tales were not written by the man named Li Fan at all. Instead, Tang Quan bought them at a high price. It was deliberately said that it was the work of a new author to cause entertainment topics. This is a method that the people who work on magazines use well."

"Yes, what Lao Yang said makes sense. I see, this is the last struggle of fun."

"I'm talking about brothers, we are also interesting authors. Isn't it a bit unauthentic to say this?"

"Haha, we just talk about things based on things and talk about them."

"What's the point? I just can't stand the rise of interest now, what's wrong?"

“…”

No one talks anymore. Although they are both authors who come from interesting things, everyone has different thoughts.

Some people are grateful, some are not in love, and some are resentful, hoping that the other party will immediately stop publishing and go bankrupt.

...
To be continued...