Chapter 45: Turn Around 2
In the next few days, Yang Rui carefully sorted out his thoughts, and invited King Ji Tong of Zhang Taiyan to his house for a banquet on the evening of one day. At this time, the east side said that it was his fiefdom. Because he was seriously ill during this period, the local celebrities and gentry, hunters and common people delivered a lot of things. ←, according to the butler, these things could not be finished for several years. This time, King Ji Tong of Zhang Taiyan came, and he could hold a banquet for water from dusk to midnight.
Although Yang Rui was a little thin after the serious illness, he was still in good spirits. After welcoming Zhang Wang and the others into the flower hall with a smile, he asked again: "Uncle Mei has been dealing with state affairs alone recently. How do you feel? Is this Prime Minister happy?"
Zhang Taiyan is a madman, but he was on the stage, and the officials below did not have the pressure of Yang Rui. At the same time, he often ignored some details. The State Council said that it was less than before, but the Cai case was still being tried. If the officials killed were supplemented, it would be a big deal. Moreover, abroad is in trouble, so he was a little busy during this period. Seeing Yang Rui ask with a smile, Zhang Taiyan immediately twisted his beard and sighed: "I just had a fight with the French ambassador, and they... they are simply too bullying!"
"Is it the German Ruhr?" Yang Rui asked while asking them to sit and eat.
"That's right." Zhang Taiyan nodded, and he shouted: "They knew that they could not get anything if they occupied Ruer, but they just wanted to send troops there. It has been several months and they have not withdrawn their troops yet. Doing this will arouse the anger of the Germans. In the end, war may start again, and as a result, there will be a huge number of casualties and injuries, and countless money will be damaged. It's really stupid!"
"The French are trying to die, why bother with them?" Yang Rui thought about the European situation in accordance with history, and also thought about how the international situation would develop after the domestic adjustment. He was a little happy to hear the Ruhr crisis. But he really didn't care much about France.
"But is it really good to have another European war?" Zhang Taiyan said. "The United States is already very strong, and another European war. He will definitely replace Britain as the world overlord, which is not a good thing for us."
Zhang Taiyan obviously has a better impression of the United Kingdom. In his words, the United Kingdom only likes to do business. As long as everyone can make money, he doesn't care about your internal affairs. But the United States is different. The United States is born to look like it is owed and likes to point fingers everywhere. It would be fine if ordinary people point fingers, but China, Japan and North Korea cannot get the United States when they join forces, so this American fly "buzzing..." flies around and screams. It makes people feel upset once the US ambassador to China Rui Enshi secretly met several Mongolian young men in the YMCA and agreed with their proposal to establish Mongolia.
Zhang Taiyan said this, and Yang Rui smiled and said, "It's not wrong for Uncle Mei to think this way, but what if the Americans don't participate in the European war, they will start a war in Asia? Even if there is anything wrong with the European war, we will at least be safe if we have to bear the blame."
"What should we do if the Americans beat us after they beat Europe?" Zhang Taiyan asked.
"This..." Yang Rui was stunned by the question. He actually had this kind of concern. When he saw Zhang Taiyan ask, he said: "So we hope that Europe, to be precise, should be Germany. Only she has the only chance to start a war. She must break off diplomatic relations with her before she shows signs of starting a war, so that the international community will not put the responsibility of Germany to us afterwards."
"If you want to add a crime, there is no reason to worry." Before Zhang Taiyan could speak, Wang Jitong sighed, and he sighed and said, "It's done, are we really going to risk going to war with the United States in order to maintain the Sino-Japanese Covenant?"
"Yeah." Yang Rui emphasized his focus. "If Japan is not used by me, it must be used by others."
"But Japan is extremely hating the United States and Russia now!" Wang Ji, who didn't understand Yang Rui's diplomatic strategy, especially his strategy, was very unaware of Japan's strategy. I saw it today. So I wanted to ask why I was willing to fight against the United States in order to maintain the Sino-Japanese alliance.
"Hate, we must form an alliance to prevent Japan from rashly starting a war against the United States." Yang Rui said seriously. "Think about it, the war between the United States and Japan has started. Although the Japanese Navy has launched a nine-distance attack, the final result is self-evident. Can we sit idly by and watch Japan be destroyed and then let the Americans support a pro-American government under our noses? This is obviously a more dangerous existence than the Philippines. If we really get to wherever we go, our best way is to believe in Christianity across the country and let the Americans do whatever they want."
"How is this possible!" Zhang Taiyan said in surprise. He always thought that Yang Rui was a very fighting spirit, and he would give in if he didn't want him to give in.
"How is it impossible?" Yang Rui smiled bitterly. "Japan and the United States are allied, so what else can we fight? Can we still raid Tokyo and occupy Japan's island before Japan is defeated? This is better than the Sino-Japanese League to fight the United States."
"What if China and Japan do not form an alliance and Japan does not go to war against the United States?" Yang Rui was just talking about the possibility of Japan's war against the United States, and there is actually another possibility.
"Then think about Spain." Yang Rui said, "Spain did not have a real conflict with the United States at that time, but the Spanish-American War still happened. The United States was in an economic crisis at that time. Now the US economy seems to be booming, but the root of the disaster was buried as early as World War I. She now barely supports the economy through early consumption. Once early consumption is over, the economy will naturally collapse. The United States will fall into an economic crisis that is even more terrifying than before the Spanish-American War, and the crisis will spread all over the world.
The economy will affect or even determine politics. Once the economy is in recession, the political situation of all countries will change drastically. Other countries will not say that if the United States cannot automatically get out of the crisis, it will have to go to war. Who else is worth fighting besides China and Japan?"
"But didn't the Intelligence Agency say that there is a possibility of war between Britain and the United States?" After staying for a while, Zhang Taiyan spoke.
"The conflict between Britain and the United States is just a conflict of the market, that is, the British Empire does not open consumption to the United States and forgives the conflict of the market. This conflict is not unsolvable. After all, the same language and same religion in Britain, and industry will not pose a fatal threat to the United States. China and Japan and the United States are pagan cultures, and there is a fatal competition in industry. Neither of these two conflicts can be resolved by reducing tariffs on the United States and opening up the market. Unless our factories are demolished, how could the Americans let us go?" Yang Rui looked at the two people who listened carefully and said helplessly.
"When will the war really start? Then...when will it happen?" Zhang Taiyan was a little speechless. Yang Rui mentioned the American threat theory before the third cabinet. But at that time, most people thought that this was a re-election statement. Now that Zhang Taiyan has been in office for half a year, he understands the conflicts that Yang Rui said better than anyone else. Not to mention anything else, just look at China's balance of payments, you can know that China's countless mechanical and electrical products and chemical products are sold all over the world. In exchange for huge foreign exchange. Radio alone exports 2.8 million units, accounting for 80% of the world's total production; automobiles, refrigerators, air conditioners, plastics, these products are even more popular around the world and are best-selling in the world. In the long run, it will take no twenty years. China can surpass any country in Europe in just ten years and become the second in the world.
"If the economic crisis occurred in the 18th year of Shenwu, it happened to be the term of the 31st president of the United States. This president would think that the crisis would pass as soon as before, so there would be no situation in this term, and even Sino-US relations would approach. But by the next president, the situation would not be like this. At this time, the economic crisis has been four years. Anyone with discerning eyes knows that this cannot be driven by natural recovery alone or by the United States itself, so the word war will jump out of Americans' minds.
If others fight and sell goods by themselves, it will definitely be the best. But if the whole world is peaceful, the United States might end in person." Yang Rui said, "My judgment is that if the world is peaceful, then the 32nd President of the United States does not provoke a war, the 33rd President will also provoke it. The first dangerous moment is when the 32nd term is approaching the end of the 32nd term. This president still cannot restore the economy and then be criticized by the people and the party. In this case, in order to be re-election, he might as well provoke a war or conflict, which can not only revitalize the economy and guarantee re-election, isn't it beautiful?"
"The 32nd President?" Zhang Taiyan was not familiar with the term of the US president. However, Wang Jitong was familiar with him. He explained. "If there was an economic crisis in Shenwu for 18 years, then President Coolidge should be re-elected. The term of the 31st President is from the 18th year of Shenwu to the 22th year of Shenwu. If this president cannot revive the economy, it will naturally be a replacement. The 32nd President will be from the 22th year of Shenwu to the 25th year of Shenwu. The US president will run for one year in advance, so the time it is said is likely to be from the 24th year of Shenwu, no later than the mid-25th year."
"Twenty-four years of Shenwu?" Zhang Taiyan was suddenly surprised. "It's only twelve years."
"Well. Twelve years." Yang Rui nodded with a smile, "This is the first dangerous moment. Even if this level passes, if the economy still cannot recover in the next term and the whole world is still peaceful, then Americans will still think of starting a war. If the war begins, the United States will gradually be surpassed by us and Japan. It is no longer a representative of new economy and emerging industries. Americans will look at our company chiefs like British textile factory owners who looked at German factory managers before World War I. They will never be willing to do so!"
After Yang Rui said that, he shrugged and smiled bitterly: "I have said this many times, but no one believes it. Some people, such as Jimin, fully believe that the United States is a democratic country and the embodiment of justice and civilization. He is confusing Western justice with what we often call justice.
The East has always been to the death of people outside the tribe, while the West has to the death of those who do not belong to the same sect. What's more, we are different from Westerners and are not the same kind of religion, and we are definitely not the same kind of people. What is justice? Besides, what is justice? We think that morality is justice, but in the eyes of Westerners, benefits are justice. Morality, justice is simply something that cannot be solved, but it just says it seriously."
"So, since the 24th year of Shenwu, we have been in a war crisis with the United States?" Wang Jitong ignored Yang Rui's complaints. He just wanted to know Yang Rui's judgment.
"It's basically the case. The Washington Naval Treaty maintains the balance of the Asia-Pacific region. With it, the possibility of a war is not high, but it can only be controlled for fifteen years, that is, it expires at the end of the 26th year of Shenwu. If there was no large-scale war before, then a second restricted naval military conference will be held in the 25th year of Shenwu. If an agreement can be reached this time, the possibility of war will be greatly reduced, but this time it will never be as easy as the previous one." Yang Rui lit a cigarette and took a deep breath.
"This meeting will definitely require China and Japan to dissolve the alliance. This is a difficult problem. If you don't agree, then the second naval treaty will not be signed. The probability of a war is equivalent to the twenty-fourth year of Shenwu mentioned just now. If you agree, then Japan is equivalent to being betrayed by us, not to mention whether he will retaliate. If we do this, Persia, North Korea and other countries will be frightened.
North Korea will not say that once the Persians are unable to protect their allies under the pressure of the West, then the Persian king who is barely in power will be overthrown by the forces supported by Britain and the United States. The new rulers must be hostile to us by Britain and the United States. The Persian railway will definitely be confiscated and state-owned. It is extremely normal to cut it off.
In a word, Japan, North Korea, Persia, Shiva, Bukhara, these countries are similar to series circuits in physics and electricity. Once Japan is lost, it will lose Persia, followed by Shiva and Bukhara. The east is blocked, the west is blocked, and Thailand in the south is even more afraid to overcome this. The final result of the compromise is that we are surrounded by full circles."
"When will the war start next?" Zhang Taiyan just remembered a 24-year-old Shenwu. Now he asked about other things.
"This depends on the situation in Europe. If Germany does not provoke a war at this time, then for us, it will be full of war threats after the 26th year of Shenwu. The beginning may be civil strife in Persia, then conflict between Japan and the United States, friction and friction. When the Americans are warmed up, warships are almost built, and aircraft are almost built, which is the time for war to begin. At this time, the war can no longer be extinguished and can only be transferred. If it cannot be transferred, it will burn on the ocean or the Persian Gulf." Yang Rui said.
"Will Britain and France take neutrality at the beginning?" Zhang Taiyan seemed to remember how Yang Rui inferred it before.
"Well. They will be very happy to be neutral, and the Soviet Union. At this time, just like the last European war, they became the United States, we became Germany, the United States became Britain and France. We will give them the thousands of tons of gold little by little." Yang Rui said. "So Hainan is planting rubber trees, nickel, chromium, platinum, and tin. We have to find a way to solve these things that we don't have or are not enough. When the war starts, the prices of these war materials will definitely skyrocket. We may not be able to buy them."
After Yang Rui said that, Zhang Taiyan and Wang Jitong were silent, but Yang Rui asked them to come this time, but it was not about the Sino-US war. Between the 24th year of Shenwu and the 26th year of Shenwu, Yang Rui was more inclined to have military conflicts in the former, in order to create a threat to China and Japan, and to make the signing of the Second Naval Treaty more difficult. Once the Naval Treaty cannot be renewed, then a large-scale war between China and the United States will surely break out between the 36th year of Shenwu and the 39th year of Shenwu.
Even if Germany launched a war in September 1939 according to its original history, it could only ease the situation in the Pacific. After World War II, China and Japan could only have the potential to get rid of the condom if the Soviet Union occupied the entire Germany. More specifically, Churchill. The existence of three forces in the United States, the Soviet Union and East Asia allowed the hegemony of the British Empire to be maintained, and her colonies with France would continue to exist, rather than having to give up under the squeeze and infiltration of the United States and the Soviet Union like the original history. The whole world would become a diversified world. As long as the Soviet Union exists, China would be safe.
However, there are countless possibilities and variables in history. Hitler's death (the Intelligence Agency has confirmed that Hitler was killed in the last battle of the European war because it was a firecracker after being bombed into several pieces, and the military order was on the verge of signing a contract truce, and it was not until several years later that the head of state was really gone) is a variable that has occurred. Today's leader of the Nazi Party, Strasser, is a leftist and socialist, and he is more likely to lead Germany to internal revolution rather than foreign wars.
Germany is like this, and the Soviet Union is also a source of variables. When Lenin went to see Marx is a big question. If he was spared from death because of penicillin (penicillin is increasingly regarded by Yang Rui as the culprit of interfering with history, its existence will prolong life for some important politicians. It can be imagined that once these people with power are not dead, it will have a significant impact on world history), Stalin did not come to power, and World War II is likely to be another scenario.
Although history can see a general trend, as if you are on a shipwreck, the seawater will penetrate from any place. The shipwreck is certain, but which cabins leak first, which cabins drag the entire boat into the seabed, and which cabins can be free from flooding are of the postgraduate entrance examination character; and in addition to character, adapting to changes is also extremely important.
Character is natural, and adaptability is necessary to perform on the spot. So Yang Rui is not in a hurry at all, and he rarely thinks about this. When the flower hall was silent, a stewed bear paw was sent to the kitchen. He smiled and introduced: "This is the bear paw sent by Ji'an. Try it. If you think it tastes delicious, I will send you dozens of them to your house."
The water banquet really needs to be eaten, but it will take a few days. The dishes delivered will be removed after a while. Yang Rui invited the two of them to taste the bear's paws, and they put down their chopsticks. After they both took the mouth, they felt that the bear's paws were plump, tender and delicious, and extremely delicious. However, after the deliciousness, they felt that their mouths were stuck, so they quickly picked up a towel to wipe off the glue.
Zhang Taiyan even picked up the shark fins and rinsed his mouth. After rinsing, he put down his chopsticks and sighed: "When I was in Shanghai, I could only buy the cheapest cigarettes, and I smoked a lot of cigarettes. After the founding of the country, my family was also a common dish, but now I am sending everything to the palace. I don't accept the people. We are rich and well-behaved, but the country has been suffering from disasters for many years. More than 200 counties in Northwest China have been drought for three years. Henan was even more flooded a month ago. Now more than ten counties are flooded..."
Facing the Yang Mansion, he talked about the disaster situation at a table of delicacies in the mountains and seas, Zhang Taiyan could say this. Yang Rui said uneasy: "The grain in the northeast and the Yangtze River has been transported into these places through the Grand Canal and the Yellow River. And this may not be a good thing. Isn't the Beiting in the Western Regions short of people? I used to say that my hometown was difficult to leave and I refused to immigrate, but now it's better. More than 20 million victims can go there.
Besides, this is also a sin of ancestors. The 800-li Qinchuan used to be a wealthy place, but now it looks like it! The Prime Minister's Office repeatedly said that we should plant trees and maintain water and soil. However, most of the money for planting trees was greedy by cadres below. The trees they planted were simply slapped and could not survive at all. Even if they barely survived, they were cut off by local farmers as firewood. They said that burning coal was not good and there was toxic gas. They also thought that coal was too expensive, so they would still be cheap to burn firewood. There would be no drought in such places, and where would the drought occur?
The flood in Henan is the same. Did the Ministry of Earth do not give money to build the embankment? No! Does the Ministry of Earth do not advocate planting trees? No! When it rained heavily in Henan this year, there was also heavy rain in the Fen River Basin in Shanxi, and the rainfall was even heavier than in Henan. But why didn’t Shanxi flood in Henan? These people are a little more lenient and said they were angry at their disagreement and mourning their misfortune; I want to say that they deserve it all!"
If Yang Rui had said this before, Zhang Taiyan would definitely be angry, but now he has a deep understanding of the situation in North China and Northwest, and cannot flatly refute Yang Rui's statement that he deserves to die. He just defended: "But no matter how it is, he is a Chinese citizen!"
"Wrong, some people are not people, but slaves!" Yang Rui said this and even put down his chopsticks. "The soil erosion in the northwest Central Plains is the most serious, and the people are the poorest. But the poorer they are, the more obedient they are. The farmers' associations in these places are the most powerful and lawless. Some cadres have been beaten to death by sticks outside the pass or Guangdong and Guangxi, but what's the reality? Nothing is wrong. After leaving office, they will be returned to the umbrella of the people and the flag of the clean government. These places should have been enfeoffed, and then half of them will be killed by death to reshape the customs of the people."
"But many representatives didn't allow it at the beginning." Zhang Taiyan said, "The bottom line of the brigade is outside the brigade, and everyone will not agree within the brigade. The only exception is that King Min's uncle was sealed in Xuanhua. During the battle against Russia, he broke a leg in Mongolia."
The feudal division was a crazy attack on the entire bureaucratic group. It was quite surprising that Zhang Taiyan could get this result. Yang Rui was surprised. He explained this way, but Yang Rui did not go into it. He just started the main topic of this time. He said: "From May, there have been many things that have happened. Although I have been sick for more than two months, my mind is still thinking about them. I have thought about them all in the past. I have thought about them many things that I dare not do in the past. Now I have the courage to do them.
Chapter completed!