Chapter 2008
I suddenly had another plan in my mind: Why don’t we develop the land that was replaced by the original factory?
This factory is not completely close to the city center, so it should be a controllable area in future planning and will not be completely affected by future urban style.
So I told Minister Wu this idea. He was immediately shocked, "Is this okay?"
I said: "Why not? Don't we have a company under us? We just need to register a subsidiary under this company. Real estate development requires level three qualifications, which is not difficult to do. We are national
company, we just need to find accommodations with the relevant parties. In the future, our company can also register several other companies. Now that our Shangjiang City is about to enter an era of large-scale development, we can completely deal in building materials and set up our own construction companies.
The company can also start its own hotel, catering, decoration industry, etc. We can get involved, and then our company can become a group. Of course, the key to the problem is whether Secretary Chen will agree.
"
He said: "Let's not think about this issue first. We can try our best to persuade Secretary Chen, but what I'm worried about is that we have no experience in real estate development, and will housing prices continue to rise? Nowadays, ordinary people
I have a lot of opinions about the rising housing prices, and the country is also beginning to introduce relevant policies to control housing prices. So I am worried that there will be huge losses in the future. Mayor Feng, this is not a small investment, it is billions
We cannot afford the responsibility if we suffer a loss. After all, this is a national asset, and you and I will be punished if we suffer a loss."
I smiled and said: "Don't worry, house prices will definitely continue to rise. Now that we have taken advantage of the advantageous conditions of low land prices and our own land, it will be impossible for our company not to make money in the future."
He looked at me in astonishment, "Why do you think housing prices will continue to rise? Don't the national regulatory policies have an effect?"
I nodded and said: "Yes. The national regulatory policies will have no effect on the rising trend of housing prices at all. I have also read relevant information recently, including those so-called regulatory policies. Haha! I have been thinking like this in my heart:
If the people who formulate these policies do not do it out of the need to appease the people, then it is the work of a group of people who do not understand economics at all."
He was even more surprised, "Why do you say that?"
I smiled and said: "First, the price of land sold by our government has increased several times in recent years, but housing prices have only less than doubled. This shows that there is still room for housing prices to rise. Moreover, the government is the
The real beneficiary of rising housing prices is that in addition to making profits from land sales, various taxes, management fees, etc. are the government's largest sources of revenue. Do you think the government is willing to give up such sources of revenue? Second, our country's population is too large
In order to ensure our food security, the country has specially formulated a red line for cultivated land. Coupled with the continuous increase in our population, this has made our land resources increasingly scarce, so this is also the reason why housing prices will continue to rise.
In the end, it is a problem of scarcity of land and the urgent needs of the people. Some people say that our country is vast and rich in land and resources. This is actually wrong, because the land and resources are not in cities, but in some uninhabited areas. On the contrary, our land resources are very tight.
Because we have too many people.”
He nodded, "Well, it makes sense. But, what does this have to do with control policies? I think the control policies introduced by the state are not just to appease the people, right? What effect will useless policies have? That's not the opposite.
Will it make the people feel that the leaders above are incompetent?"
I waved my hand to him and said: "Minister Wu, we won't talk about this issue. This issue involves politics and is too sensitive. And at our level, we can never understand the real thoughts of those above. But I can learn from the control policies.
Those so-called measures to analyze this matter. Minister Wu, you have also seen those so-called control policies, which are nothing more than raising property taxes and increasing the cost of real estate transactions. Is that so?"
He nodded, "I think this should be useful? As transaction costs increase, those who speculate in real estate will have to consider whether to continue investing. As long as there are fewer people speculating in real estate, housing prices will naturally drop.
Yes. Isn’t it?”
I shook my head and said, "Minister Wu, this is just the wishful thinking of the people who formulate the policy. First, as I said before, our country's population base is too large, which means that our immediate needs are too large. Second, the people in our country have great expectations for
The demand for houses has a completely different concept from other countries. Most of us always feel that only if we buy a house, it belongs to us. People consider the ownership rather than the right to use. In fact, people abroad do not think this way.
They think that renting a house is more cost-effective than buying a house. If the monthly rent for a three-bedroom house is 2,000 yuan, it will be 36,000 yuan in one year, and 360,000 yuan in ten years. In twenty years, it will be 360,000 yuan.
?Seven hundred and twenty thousand.
In other words, renting a house actually costs about the same as buying it, and there is no need for a loan, no interest payments, and no one-time @jiao down payment. But people in our country don’t think this way, and we will always
If you think that this house is not your own, you will feel very uneasy. Therefore, buying a house is a need of most Chinese people, and this is a rigid need. Third, the main way to control policies is to increase property taxes, transaction taxes, etc., which seems
It increases the cost for real estate speculators, but in the end, this part of the cost will still be passed on to the people who really need it, and it will also increase the rent price, which will further promote the increase in housing prices."
He looked at me and said, "I don't quite understand."
I smiled and said: "Let me use an analogy. Minister Wu, did you know? There are prostitutes in most countries around the world, and most countries will take measures to deal with such problems, but the methods adopted by most countries are
The same thing is to fine women. So the risks and costs for women increase. What will they do? It's very simple, increase the money for prostitution and transfer the risks and costs to the clients. In this way, prostitution will
The problem will not be solved at all, but will stimulate this phenomenon to become more and more serious.
But there is one country that is different, and that is Sweden. This country adopts the opposite method in this matter. They fine the customers. In this way, the costs and risks of those customers will be greatly increased, so they have to
Don't do anything like that again.
What's the result? The woman's business is getting worse and worse, and she finally has to lift her pants to do other things. Therefore, Sweden is the only country in the world that does this best, and there are very few prostitutes in the entire country.
It's pitiful. The principle behind regulating house prices is actually the same."
He immediately laughed and said, "It makes sense."
I smiled and continued: "Actually, there is only one way to really control housing prices, and that is to increase the activity of house transactions and allow everyone to buy freely. The government will reduce land costs and various taxes to truly form a competition mechanism. There will be more things."
, the price will naturally come down, and if the house is always made into a scarce item, it is like a luxury item, and the price will of course not come down.
But think about it, is the government willing to do this? The annual consumption of public services and public services is so huge, there is a lot of duplication of construction, and coupled with the impact of the global economic crisis, where does the money the government needs come from? How is the performance of officials reflected? Therefore, housing prices
It would be strange if it doesn’t continue to rise.”
He nodded and said: "That makes sense. Mayor Feng, you taught me a very good lesson in economics today. But Mayor Feng, are housing prices going to rise like this crazily?"
Isn’t the government worried about the formation of a bubble? Isn’t it worried that the bubble will eventually burst?”
I said: "It is inevitable to keep rising. Of course, the government will try its best to control the speed and extent of the rise. After all, this is an issue related to people's livelihood. House price bubbles also exist, and they already exist now.
But the government will not let this bubble burst, because in the final analysis our government is an institution under the leadership of a political party. Once this bubble bursts, it will affect the foundation of our governance. This is absolutely unacceptable.
In addition, the real estate industry is closely related to the banking industry. Once the real estate industry goes bankrupt, the bank will go bankrupt next, which will directly endanger the foundation of our governance. Minister Wu, this is the truth."
He nodded, "That's the truth."
I continued: "Minister Wu, have you noticed? In recent years, our country's currency issuance has begun to increase dramatically. It is said that in the past, the Bank of China went to the currency printing factory to pull currency about once a week, but now it goes to the currency printing factory every week.
Pull it twice or even three times. And I believe that our country's currency issuance will increase in the future. Why? Because the United States is also desperately over-issuing currency. If we don't over-issue, there will be a more serious economic crisis than the United States.
.
However, the United States can plunder the world's property by over-issuing currency, but our country cannot. We can only digest these over-issuance of currency in Southeast Asia, and mainly at home. Recently, our prices have risen sharply.
, if you used to spend only 100 yuan to eat out, now you have to spend at least 150 yuan. How do you think house prices don’t rise?
What's more, our over-issuance of currency is far more than that of the United States. It is said that we are now ranked first in the world. The amount of our country's over-issuance of currency even exceeds the amount before the Kuomintang left the mainland. But why hasn't there been huge inflation in our country?
The problem is that we have real estate. These over-issuances of currency have been absorbed by our real estate industry. It can be said that our economic cooperation with Western countries led by the United States has already begun, so the over-issuance of currency will continue in the future.
Increase, which is one of the reasons why housing prices in our country will continue to rise."
He immediately laughed and said, "Mayor Feng, after hearing what you said, I want to buy a few houses right away and put them there. Unfortunately, I don't have that much money."
I immediately laughed, "It's okay to buy a house, but don't buy too much. Can you get a mortgage? It's okay to get one or two mortgages. After all, you and I have different identities. If you have too many properties, others will gossip."
I won't believe the nonsense he said about not having money. On weekdays, I find that he wears all famous brands, and I have also met his wife. It seems that she is not the kind of person who is short of money.
Of course, I won't care about his financial resources. That is a very boring thing and can easily arouse his taboo.
But I finally convinced him, and he became ambitious about this matter.
Then we went to the Municipal Planning Bureau to learn about the preliminary planning situation of the city. However, the plans of the Municipal Planning Bureau were all made in the past few years, and the new plan has not yet been released.
Chapter completed!