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Volume 7, Section 29: Difficult choice, no choice

After talking to Zhong Guangbiao on the phone for more than half an hour, Sha Zhengyang then put down the phone.

The news from all sides showed that he might not be able to stay in Yanjing for long, at least as expected, it would be impossible to stay for half a year. At most, he would have to return to Handu at the end of July.

In addition to Zhu Fenghou still relentlessly hoping to let himself work in Qindu, Zhong Guangbiao also heard from here that Yuan Zengqiao could really go to Yidong Coal Industry to take charge of the overall situation.

Because from the current situation, coal prices have shown signs of falling since late May, and there has been a significant decline in June. The market also reflects that the situation of oversupply of coal is forming. Some projects that have been expanded since the previous year were completed and put into production in the first half of this year, causing the prices of major coal such as thermal coal, coking coal, etc. in the market to fall to varying degrees. According to market analysis, coal prices have begun to enter a downward channel, and it may be difficult to improve in the short term. It is just to see how deep the decline is and how long it will last.

Many analysts in the market believe that after five consecutive years of coal prices have risen in the past few years, coupled with some overheating trends in the domestic economy in the early stage, and since 1996, various places have increased their investment to expand coal production capacity, so there will be a relatively long sluggish period in the future. It is hard to say how long it will be. However, most market analysts believe that there may be a low hovering situation that lasts for many years. It will take until the domestic economic development reaches a certain stage to digest the expanded capacity in the past few years, so that coal prices can stabilize and re-exist on the upward trend. In other words, coal prices may be in a downward trend within three years, and it will take at least five or six years to stabilize.

In fact, the view of the decline in coal prices for three years is Sha Zhengyang agreed, but there may be two or three years of bottoming out period after the three years of decline, which is not recognized by Sha Zhengyang. China's economic development momentum is unpredictable. Only Sha Zhengyang knows that coal prices will return to the upward momentum after experiencing three years of decline, and the upward momentum will be quite rapid and surprisingly rapid.

But now even the most optimistic analysts dare not make such a prediction. The most optimistic estimate is that everyone thinks that coal prices may not be stabilized and rise after 2003. However, in their previous life, the shortage of electricity from 2001 to 2002 caused the country to shut down power limits, and a wave of power investment has also emerged in the country. The existing thermal power generation is powered at full capacity and the demand for coal is quickly pulled up, and coal prices immediately ushered in the best golden decade.

But now everyone is stunned by the sudden drop in coal prices, especially the Ito Coal Industry.

As the largest coal enterprise in Hanchuan, it started its largest expansion since last year. It is expected to be completed and put into production in September, but now even the existing coal supply has been oversupply, and coal prices have been declining. How to digest the expansion capacity? It may even be a bad situation where it starts to lose money as soon as it is put into production.

Therefore, Xiang Wenbo, the president of Ito Coal Industry, who was optimistic about the coal market and vigorously advocated production expansion, was immediately criticized and criticized by many people. Not only did it receive a lot of criticism and reports within the Ito Coal Industry, but it also faced fierce criticism within the provincial party committee and government.

In this case, Xiang Wenbo, who was the initiator, must be responsible for this, so the provincial government finally decided to remove him from his position as general manager of Ito Coal Industry, and Yuan Zengqiao from Changhe Group became chairman and general manager. Fortunately, Li Ming was not the kind of person who turned against others, so he arranged him to the Tianshengpu Hydropower Station construction team.

This is actually a waste of time. The situation of overpowering power has not yet eased. Tianshengpu Hydropower Station is still in the early preparation stage. This project is a large-scale hydropower project led by the province. However, the provincial hydropower investment company, as the main investment unit, is not confident enough and is reluctant to start the formal construction for a long time. Therefore, going to Wenbo is only a good place to drink tea.

Once Yuan Zengqiao leaves, the executive vice president will either come from outside or be generated internally. Although Lu Tonghao has performed remarkably recently, Zhong Guangbiao still prefers Sha Zhengyang to take over as the executive vice president. However, there are still many obstacles to overcome in this idea.

Qualification is the biggest problem. The executive vice president and general deputy always have two concepts. In addition, general manager Zhao Wenxuan will definitely oppose Sha Zhengyang if he is not catching a cold, so he will definitely oppose it. Therefore, it is hard to say how great this possibility is.

Zhong Guangbiao also called Sha Zhengyang first to communicate with him, but Sha Zhengyang was not good at giving the other party a clear attitude because he also obtained some news from other channels, such as Cheng Song hoped that he would work in Hanchuan to the Development Planning Commission.

It is of course a good place to go to the Provincial Development and Planning Commission, but it is another problem in terms of position. The deputy director of the Provincial Development and Planning Commission is also at the deputy department level, but the content of this deputy department level is incomparable to the deputy department level of the deputy general manager of Changhe Group, and it is even much heavier than the Standing Committee of the Municipal Party Committee of the General Prefecture-level City. Generally speaking, if the deputy director of the Provincial Development and Planning Commission wants to go to the local area, he basically has to serve as the main leader of the party and government, that is, the mayor or the commissioner of the administrative department. It can be said that it is only a step away from the level of the official department level.

For young cadres like Sha Zhengyang, this position is too important and too critical.

Because of this, Sha Zhengyang also knew that the difficulty he might face was very great. It is very likely that he would serve as the assistant director of the Provincial Development and Planning Commission and also a deputy department, but there is a clear difference from the deputy director. The assistant director is very likely not to join the Party Group of the Provincial Development and Planning Commission, which is very important.

Sha Zhengyang himself is not sure about his idea now, but in fact it is not his turn to make his decision. Wherever he thinks, the organization department may solicit opinions, but it will not be used as a basis. Or it is not a decisive factor, but the organization needs to consider the problem from a higher perspective, where is more needed, which work is more needed, and where Sha Zhengyang can play a more effective role. This is the key.

Sha Zhengyang had a feeling that Zhong Guangbiao was less likely to leave himself in Changhe Group.

For the provincial party committee and government, the team of Changhe Group has been more sound after the merger of the provincial investment company, and the combination of Zhong Guangbiao and Zhao Wenxuan is obviously more reasonable and balanced. Even if Yuan Zengqiao wants to leave, Lu Tonghao is more likely to serve as executive vice president, because everyone realizes that the importance of sales terminal networks is becoming increasingly prominent, which has been clearly demonstrated after the establishment of CNPC Sinopec.

Now, Sinopec has put forward the next priority of work, and without exception, they have completely followed Changhe Group's approach at the beginning of last year, and went overseas to strategy to increase sales terminal construction. This imitation is too obvious.

Of course, for CNPC and Sinopec, their relatively sound sales terminal system is much stronger than Changhe Group. Although Changhe Group has been chasing for more than a year, Changhe Group's refined oil sales terminal is still far inferior to CNPC and Sinopec, especially Sinopec. Now Changhe Group has only barely built up the structure in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, but it is not comparable to Sinopec and Sinopec in terms of quantity and quality. Even in all provinces along the river, it still needs to continue to invest in building this system to ensure that Changhe Group will not be left behind in the future.

Lu Tonghao won the recognition of Zhong Guangbiao and provincial leaders with his wonderful performance over the past year. Even Zhao Wenxuan had to admit that Lu Tonghao's work was very outstanding. Without a strong and perfect sales terminal network system, Changhe Group's main business, Changhe Oil, will find it difficult to survive the competition squeeze of Sinopec and PetroChina in the entire country.

In this case, it is more appropriate to be promoted from any angle to Lu Tonghao as executive vice president, and even Zhong Guangbiao himself has to admit this.

If you put aside Liu Changhe Group and be promoted to executive vice president, continue to stay in Changhe Group and Qindu, or go to Qindu to serve, Sha Zhengyang is also happy, but if you can work at the Provincial Development and Planning Commission, then the latter will undoubtedly be more tempting.

In Sha Zhengyang's view, where you are may be very important to others, but not to yourself.

The reason is very simple. My age advantage is too strong, so strong that no one else can compare to me. So for me, it is more important, more valuable and meaningful to me, and the Development and Planning Commission will definitely allow many of my ideas to be implemented.

If you are at the level of the deputy department level, it is not worth mentioning. A deputy at the department level can win the attention of the leader, but in the final analysis, you have to pass the top leader of the department and bureau level, and then go to the top leader of the National Bureau of Development and Planning and then go to the top leader to implement something. The procedures here are too long and there are too many joints, which is really difficult to do, at least for yourself, a newcomer.

But it's different at the provincial level.

Even if you are an assistant to the director, you will be assigned to some industries in charge. When the executive officer Cheng Song recognizes him more, he will have a lot of room for operation.

Moreover, Sha Zhengyang also feels that it is easier to operate at the provincial level. Many industries and projects, especially those involving emerging strategic industries and key core industries, can directly connect to the local municipal level and communicate directly with the secretary and mayor who can make decisions at the municipal level.
Chapter completed!
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