Chapter 114
The packed conference room was very quiet. The participants present could only hear their pounding heartbeats. Occasionally, someone would make some vague sounds, similar to dreams.
Among them, some support the view of the paper, and many people oppose its arguments, but no matter who it is, they must admit that this analysis report that caused an uproar in the economics community in Beijing did accurately judge the recent trend of the world economy. The mysterious author of the report also became a hot topic in the circle.
Never dreamed that Chen Yi would let a middle school student come to the stage. Could he be the author? In comparison, the participants would rather believe that the real author failed to come for some reason. The boy was his son or grandson and was sent to communicate with everyone on his behalf.
But Chen Yi's actions completely shattered all speculations. She told people accurately: "The possibility of the US subprime mortgage crisis transforming into a global financial crisis and its impact on our macroeconomics", the author of this sensational prophecy is Qi Ran who stands by my side!"
Qi Ran had already walked onto the podium and stood beside Chen Yi.
"Mr. Chen, are you kidding?" Someone shouted in the crowd in the back seats.
Although out of politeness, most people did not express their doubts clearly, but they suspected that they were clearly written on their faces. How could such a middle school student be? It’s a fantasy!
"Do you think I'm like a joker?" Chen Yi's smile remained the same, but her tone increased with a three-point majesty. She glanced at the audience slowly and slowly. "The reason why the author's identity was not announced in advance was because it was too incredible. I'm afraid that many people here would think that I, Chen Yi, was joking and didn't come to Dongchuan at all. Now it seems that my decision is correct. Many participants can't get rid of their inherent opinions and cannot extricate themselves from the shackles of the old."
The last sentence even comes with some harsh criticism, whether it refers to the contempt of age or the conscience of the field of economics?
The strong woman's accusations were so sharp that many people present had a little blushing.
Some people still muttered unconvincedly: "But his age..."
"Age, to make a less appropriate comparison, Einstein was only twenty-six years old when he published the special theory of relativity. Moreover, Qi Ran only analyzed economic phenomena, did not propose new cutting-edge theories, nor did he build a complete theoretical model. What's strange about him writing this analysis report?"
Chen Yi felt unbelievable at first, but later she gradually accepted it. In her life circle in Beijing, the children of several generals could talk about various high-tech weapons as they knew. The "Re-Deduction of the Gulf War" she wrote was also quite decent and received praise from experts from the Academy of Military Sciences. The children whose parents worked in ministries and commissions talked about who promoted and who was sent to the place where they were sent to the place where they were sent to the place where they were, and they were also the COSPLAY, the minister of underground organizations.
Qi Ran just did better than them!
Shouldn't it be? Thinking of his performance in the depths of the mine, Chen Yi felt that no matter how surprising he did, it was natural.
As for Qi Ran's family background is not comparable to those of the children around Chen Yi, she should not have the chance to become interested in economics and be guided accordingly. This was ignored by her - even strong women will be dominated by emotions.
Fang Junli, who was sitting in the middle of the front row, smiled and nodded: "Well, it makes sense. Gan Luo's twelve worshipping ministers, but if you have ambitions, you are not old enough!"
With Mr. Fang, Zhou Keshan also said loudly: "At this age, it may be too early to propose cutting-edge theories and build a theoretical system building, but there is no problem in analyzing specific economic phenomena. Dr. Liu, I heard that in the United States, elementary school students are asked to write papers?"
Because the viewpoint is contrary to that analysis report, Liu Wenzao was originally going to question a few words, but after Zhou Keshan said so, he could only nod: "Yes, Western countries' education pays more attention to cultivating abilities in this area."
No one can ignore the status of Chen Yi and three heavyweight experts. Since they said that, Qi Ran's identity as an author was no longer questioned, so many eyes turned to Qi Ran, and the meaning was different from before.
What middle school students are obviously pretending to be a pig and eating a tiger! Although Ma Jinxiao and his brothers are still a little dissatisfied, they have to admit that based on that analysis report, Qi Ran has suppressed their popularity in the capital circle. At least in the near future, their fame can be catching up with Zhou Keshan and Liu Wenzao.
This is the first time that a boy has faced hundreds of pairs of eyes on such occasions. He smiled shyly and his eyes were very clear.
How could you be scared in the spacious and bright conference room if you have the courage to save people in the deep mine? It’s just that there were no similar opportunities before. Not to mention the school-wide conference, even class meetings, Qi Ran was never arranged to be on stage, and they were all watching the outstanding students performing variously in the audience.
Qi Ran remembers very clearly that those students who were invited to perform their talents or were arranged to speak for a certain honor were always humble on the surface and even a little complaining about the trouble, but their pride in their bones could not deceive others, and the classmates did not hide their envy for him.
Once, the nerd Du Yu won the second prize in the junior high school composition group for middle school students. After the national flag raising ceremony on Monday, he was invited to the rostrum to recite his composition to all the students in the school. Many students were envious and secretly bought composition books to read, but no one could get the award again - Qi Ran is one of them.
Unexpectedly, the first time I was invited to the podium was not a class event or a school conference, but a top major experts in the country, discussing the international economic trends!
Du Yu and those are simply weak!
Qi Ran took two deep breaths and tried not to beat the heart so fast. "Dear teachers, you are all my seniors. I feel very lucky to be able to attend this meeting... But I must say that the analysis report's successful prediction of the current economic trend is definitely not lucky."
The opening remarks were very ordinary, and at first some people didn't agree with it. A few girls, who were the few master disciples, looked at the young boy on the stage with great interest as their elder sister.
But the last sentence truly revealed the young man's strength, and many people were excited: so strong and confident, and so loudly!
Qi Ran laughed secretly. The first time he stood on the podium was facing many experts and professors. It would be strange if he was not prepared in advance. He had to be humble, but Lin Yan believed that since he was young and easily looked down upon by others, he might as well put his attitude on a high-profile basis.
It's really good!
He briefly explained the content of the analysis report. In fact, the relevant content has been read countless times by the participants. This time, he briefly introduced his ideas and understanding of several key points.
I made a lot of preparations before, and the analysis report was memorized and explained very smoothly, making people more convinced of his author's identity.
There was no way. At the beginning, in order to encourage Shenghua to develop, he contacted Zhou Sheng in the name of Qiran. Now it has been done. Even if he wants to say that it is Lin Yan's point of view, he has to stand the front by himself.
A brief introduction was introduced and the communication was entered, and everyone was motivated.
Liu Wenzao fired the first shot: "As we all know, the United States is the most powerful superpower in the world, with its technological strength far ahead. Such a country will recover quickly. The economic data in May this year has already shown a trend of recovery..."
"U.S. Treasury Secretary Paulson predicts a round of upward trend at the end of the year. Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan also believes that the worst stage of the trough has passed. Both the Bush administration and presidential candidate McCain promised tax cuts, lower welfare spending and government spending, and reduce the deficit, so I don't think the quantitative easing proposed in the final report will happen."
"Specifically, light industries such as export-oriented clothing and toys will continue to be sluggish in the third quarter, but with the US economy rebounding and Thanksgiving in the fourth quarter, the Christmas Double Festival is approaching and the consumption index will rebound, and these industries will also recover. There is no need for the country to introduce large-scale economic stimulus plans."
This view accounted for the majority of the participants. In 2008, the backbone of the economics community, all of whom were in their forties and fifties, experienced the difficulties and hardships of the 1970s. In the 1980s, reform and opening up witnessed the huge gap with the West. In the 1990s, the economy flourished. The four Asian dragons who became the target of learning were knocked out by Soros again with a blow. These experiences made it difficult for them to believe that a powerful United States would have an economic crisis.
Qi Ran smiled and shook his head: "Dr. Liu, your opinion may be correct ten years ago, but now, the hollowing out of the United States industry is quite serious, and the world's factories have been transferred to China. Wall Street's bigwigs play subprime loans to make money, and the bubble will ultimately not last..."
"Specifically speaking, the US Congress recently approved a $300 billion housing aid bill under the premise of a high fiscal deficit, which shows that they will not make any efforts to reduce the fiscal deficit. Compared with Republican McCain, I am more optimistic about Democratic Obama. If the first black president ever comes to power, it is even more unlikely to reduce the deficit by cutting benefits. As we all know, American welfare is beneficial to black and Hispanic poor, and these are his supporters."
Liu Wenzao opened his mouth and prepared to refute, but Zhou Keshan waved his hand at him: Old Liu, you have asked so much, it's my turn, right?
"It's wonderful!" Zhou Keshan slapped twice, a little excited: "The chronic disease of the United States' economy is difficult to solve, and it is inevitable when going downhill. Qiran. Do you think the crisis caused by subprime loans will continue to deepen, and an economic collapse of the same level as in 1929 will occur within five years, shaking its status as a superpower?"
Chapter completed!