Transfer new positions

When emotional pain is hidden, impulsive decisions are always problematic.

Mr. Dong’s four sentences brought me back to my original intention. I laughed at the love of my children. What is this called a "real man"? I have no urgency to pursue Tao yet, but my desire for a real man has revitalized my confidence. For a young man, for a young man who has mastered his skills, and for a young man who has been born in poverty and suddenly came to a rich and prosperous hometown, do you let me escape? I only answer two words: Haha.

I am a person who has a pursuit of knowledge. I rented a room in Wudaokou. Even though I didn’t get into Tsinghua University and Peking University back then, I wanted to take advantage of some new knowledge hot topics.

I rented a three-bedroom apartment, and the other two roommates were both men.

Li Mao: He is studying for a master's degree in computer science at Tsinghua University, 26 years old, and now he is a technical supervisor in an Internet company in Zhongguancun. He is a hard-working engineering man and a rural native of Shandong. His recent ideal is to spend five years to buy a second-hand house in Beijing.

Zhang Siyuan: A middle-class family in a second-tier city was born at the age of 23. He was studying in a second-tier management subject and postgraduate entrance examination training. He usually attended classes and came back to do the questions. His recent ideal is to prepare to impact graduate students in Beijing, Qing Dynasty and people.

Among these three people, I discovered an interesting ladder: Li Mao’s today is Zhang Siyuan’s ideal, and Zhang Siyuan’s family is the goal of our rural people’s life struggle.

Your end is just the starting point of others. Isn’t this very interesting?

Then, walk downstairs and look at the bike repairer, the one who sells roasted sweet potatoes, and the one who delivers pure water. They may live in a remote basement, and may be worried about tomorrow's food and clothing. Perhaps, I, who are well-dressed, live in a building, even if it is rented, is their near-term ideal.

It is known as the center of the universe, with people of all kinds of skin and people from all walks of life, and people from all walks of life are surging. On the second floor of NetEase Building, Beijing Roast Duck also opened a modern branch. I met the legendary Yang Zhenning while having dinner; during a dinner party, I saw Li Bingbing who was going out. Maybe, you have heard of the adventure of the vice chairman of the National People's Congress while eating mutton, or scratched a billionaire's luxury car while riding a bicycle.

Since Brother Zhang gave me seven-figure rewards, I was not in a hurry to start a business. I just wanted to see my best way out in this mixed world.

I know the truth that the road is at my feet. I spent about a month shopping on the streets, rushing around alleys, talking to peddlers and pawns, watching human relationship accidents in the north; going to nightclubs, going to bars, observing human nature between the bright lights and the green wine, and watching stories of conflicts of desires.

After seeing too much, I feel a little moved. In this great era, everyone is swept by the trend and has huge ups and downs. In the silver-shining glass curtain wall, it not only reflects the light flow, but also reflects our blank gaze.

When I determine my target customers, I can no longer be a pediatric student in student love, because their dreams are so realistic: Beijing, Qing, people, and I can't be a second-rate star or an out-of-date celebrity, because this is not the place where they gather. Only by knowing their own knowledge and enemies can we win every battle.

If you have determined your goal, you must first go deep into top universities and explore the high-level people. If I can't fool them, I will learn from them. Isn't any result successful?

Listening to lectures and “masters” should be an interesting entry point. If you want to ask me how I got into the university classroom, it is also very simple. Just ask Li Mao. In fact, the road is in my mouth.

Because of my poverty and my innate desire for money, I chose an economics course taught by a professor. He started classes every Thursday. The most important point is: Wudaokou Finance College, close to where I live.

This is a so-called entrepreneur training class. I don’t know what channel Li Mao got me this lecture certificate. Anyway, look at the clothes, vehicles, etc. of these middle-aged men and women, they are all rich people. Maybe this is my future market?

In fact, his class is an economic principle course for some nouveau riche bosses. It uses Mankun’s economic principle textbooks to introduce them to simple analysis methods such as demand price curves.

This is a typical liberal market economy theory. This theory naively believes that when prices rise, demand drops, and vice versa. This is its basic idea. But when situations that are not suitable for reality occur, this theory is patched. For example, this theory can explain that when apple prices rise, apple sales will drop because the sales volume of alternative products of pears rise. When there is no alternative product, such as salt, no matter how high your price, the sales volume changes have not changed significantly. In order to apply this patch, it introduces the concept of price elasticity. It also gives the elastic coefficient of many commodities, believing that the price elasticity of salt is the lowest, while commodities with alternative products, such as a fruit, have a high price elasticity.

This theory also believes that full competition is conducive to maximizing the overall welfare of society. For example, in a fully competitive collective market, you can always buy the lowest price of vegetables. For example, when you are in Taobao Mall, various discounts are emerging one after another. However, we often see such a phenomenon. Low-price competition often leads to quality reduction, shoddy production, and even causes environmental pollution and gutter oil. In order to apply this complex patch, this theory introduces a seemingly all-encompassing concept: externality.

Corresponding to competition is monopoly, but should the tap water pipelines, power transmission and other industries waste huge infrastructure resources and carry out several duplicate constructions to form competition? It is impossible. In order to solve this theoretical flaw, it introduced a patch concept: a natural monopoly industry.

Perhaps for those who have experience in using Microsoft systems, patching is the norm. But in basic theory, I don’t agree with the theory of competing with the world and benefiting the people by making patches.

However, I was very surprised when I went to this class, that was that the local tyrants gathered and I discovered business opportunities.

China's past decades has been a process of making money from floods. Many local tyrants make money in floods. They do not understand the reasons for their wealth. They see that waves are coming and wealth comes, but they do not know why the waves come, and where the waves come next time. Faced with this situation, they often have two choices: one is to learn knowledge and want to understand why through knowledge; the other is to ask God to tell fortunes, and want to find answers through mysterious power.

I think, logically speaking, there are two ways to make money: one is to create wealth, which is incremental thinking, "development is the hard truth", such as industry, technology, etc.; the other is to take other people's wealth into your own hands, which is a zero-sum game, such as pyramid schemes, gambling, etc. The first kind of thinking is positive social energy and the main force in promoting social development.

After contact, I found that many local tycoons often have both when they make a fortune, which causes them to feel unstable in the face of conscience and the future. Instead of taking this economics class, it is better to seek psychological counseling or fortune-telling to ask for more direct results.

After my research, from a vertical perspective: I found that few economists in history have made a fortune, and it is difficult to make people clear because they are confused. From a horizontal perspective: Currently, the most well-known economists in the United States have been born in South America, which is precisely the worst performance of the South American economy in recent years. Why is this?

The most profitable economists are on Wall Street. There are two main games they participate in: one is the zero-sum game, making money from the rise and fall of the stock market, and what they make is what you lose, which is similar to gambling; the other is gambling expectations, which takes away money before public expectations arise, and when everyone chases the wind, they have already landed. Even if this is not metaphysics, it is similar to psychology.

So, is economics still a science today? If so, then only those who talk about development are real knowledge, and those who talk about zero sum are not the way.

Let’s look at how economics talks about development: using explaining past things to predict future things, and using other people’s things to explain our own things. This method has a huge flaw: it just ignores the huge changes and development of society and the particularity of individuals.

But scientific experiments can be repeated, but the reality of economics cannot be repeated. This is a huge obstacle to economics as a science.

Of course, this type of economics is not meaningless, but it must be valid in a specific environment. Mathematics talks about axioms, and modern economics also have assumptions. For example, suppose everyone is rational in economic activities. But this assumption is too inconsistent with our experience. For example, buying a lottery, from the perspective of rational probability, the chance of winning the jackpot is extremely slim, but some people are still happy with it. Is this irrational because of the huge temptation to uncertain expectations? Perhaps, for them, only the way to buy lottery can be achieved? People must have dreams, what if they realize it? Is this rational?

I think that the economy is a social phenomenon. And the real unit of social activities is people, not products, currency, prices, etc. Why does macroeconomics have a huge deviation from microeconomics? It is because they seriously ignore the subjects of economic activities: people.

People are shaped and driven by reality. Do I want to drink because beer is cheap? It is because I want to drink!

In the process of observing the rich people from all generations of China and abroad summarizing their own experiences, we found that the emphasis on doing business is: integrity; the emphasis on manufacturing is: quality. These summary directions are correct because the subjects they target are: people.

So, can behavioral economics and development economics explain reality? Not necessarily. People's behavioral patterns have many driving forces, and they have different performance characteristics at different times and occasions, so it is difficult to give a simple model for calculation. If you can model mathematically, it is only a special transaction suitable for a certain type of special people on a specific occasion, and does not have the universal significance of economics. Development economics uses the previous development laws to guide the subsequent development practices. Because of the cultural background, production methods and people's execution level, countries also show huge differences. For example, there are good ports like Beihai in Guangxi, but Beihai has not improved yet; Yunnan's tourism resources are richer than Sichuan, but the quality and income are huge. This is a difference between people and cannot be explained by development economics.
Chapter completed!