In the eyes of many media and fans, even in the penalty shootout, Derby County has a low chance of winning. If probability is used to describe Derby County's hope of winning, then in their judgment, there is only about 20% possibility that Derby County can defeat Manchester United in the penalty shootout. △

There are many reasons for this.

In terms of penalty kicks, Manchester United players are even more powerful. Derby County players are not as strong as Manchester United. In addition, there are now 11 players in the Derby County team, none of them are forwards - the only striker in this game Cahill was replaced. According to the rules of the penalty shootout, substitutes cannot play penalty kicks on behalf of the team, that is, Derby County can only send midfielders and defenders to play penalty kicks.

Looking at Manchester United, Van Nie, Scholes, Solskjaer, C-Ronaldo and other players are all frontcourt players, and their penalty kick skills will definitely not be bad.

Compared with the two, Derby County's disadvantages are very obvious.

The live commentator also commented, "It's a wrong choice for Wansheng to let Cahill end. If Cahill was on the court, their situation would be much better now."

No one can deny Cahill's shooting ability. He is the No. 1 shooter in the League One. With him here, Derby County almost means that there is a penalty kick that is definitely scored.

At the same time, many media also think this way, and the fans in the audience also have similar views. Even if they are optimistic about Derby County and support Derby County, they do not think that their winning rate is higher than Manchester United. However, it is a penalty shootout, which depends on temporary play. Derby County has no chance at all.

And among the people in the audience, only one person doesn't think so.

That is Wansheng.

Wan Sheng is quite confident in the team's penalty kicks. What gives him confidence is the data of some players and his coaching skills.

At the beginning of the season, his coaching level was only lv.5, and now he has lv.9.

The level has been upgraded to level 4, and with some new skill effects, he has an obvious improvement to the team. This refers to the player's ability, and also the goalkeeper's ability.

In terms of goalkeeper ability.

Oaks is a mediocre goalkeeper, he is not a genius, but it is undeniable that this season, Oaks has worked hard to train for nearly a year. The training plan that Wansheng has basically completed for him, so his improvement is still a lot.

In terms of goalkeeper ability, Oaks could only say that it was "qualified goal price for League One". But now it can definitely reach "a goalkeeper close to the Premier League level".

This improvement is quite high, but in terms of personal ability, Oaks can only be a "goaler close to the Premier League level" rather than a qualified "goaler level" goalkeeper. Perhaps this is not the case, because Wansheng's own coaching skills can bring a lot of improvements to Oaks.

For example, the "League Champion" honorary skill that just obtained can increase Oaks' personal attributes by 2.5%, the coach's max-level skill "solid barrier" can improve the defensive attribute evaluation by 1 point, and the second-level player will increase the defensive attribute by 2%. These are all combined, enough Oaks will become a qualified goalkeeper at the Premier League level.

When you really get to the Premier League level goalkeeper, there is actually not much difference between the goalkeepers of the giants and the goalkeepers of small teams. Those goalkeepers whose value doubles, have special performance in some games, or have a more stable mentality, and have a brilliant performance in major competitions, that's all. The real top league goalkeepers are actually not very different in terms of personal ability, reaction speed, etc. Everything depends on temporary performance.

What brings the greatest confidence to Wan Sheng is the newly obtained skill "Strong Barrier". This high-level defensive skill has an active activation effect and can directly increase the goalkeeper's reaction speed by 100%. This is the biggest reason why Wan Sheng is confident in the penalty shootout.

A lot of coaching abilities have improved Oaks' ability to be no worse than Howard, and his mentality has always been very stable. Coupled with the 100% reaction speed effect brought by the "strong barrier", Oaks' performance may not be worse than Howard's.

Let’s talk about the players’ penalty kicks.

Wan Sheng’s coaching skills will not talk much about improving the player’s attributes. The key is that he has a skill ‘shooting technique’, which can directly improve the player’s shooting evaluation by 5 points. This effect is quite obvious.

What is the concept of 5-point shooting evaluation?

Although Wan Sheng is not very clear about the specific data, he knows the football training master system that stars like Van Nie have a shooting ability between 95 and 100, and this ability evaluation has almost reached the world's top level. Other Manchester United players, including wing forwards C-Ronaldo, Solskjaer and others, have a shooting ability of at most around 95, and most of them should not exceed 95. In contrast, players on their own side seem to be worse, such as Ribery, with only 86 points, and Leiden Bynes is higher, but only 88 points. The shooting evaluation data of players with strong shooting ability in Derby County are basically between 85 and 90.

But after the shooting ability is improved by 5 points, it is almost the same as that of Manchester United stars.

In other words, Derby County does not have many disadvantages in terms of penalty kicks, and Oaks will not be inferior to Howard in terms of goalkeeping. Therefore, Derby County will win against Manchester United in the penalty shootout, and the winning rate is still around 50%.

Of course, everything depends on performance.

At this time, Wan Sheng was exposing Oaks. "When saving a while, it is best to look at the right direction first and then save the ball. Don't rush to try your luck, as there is no chance of hitting it..."

Wan Sheng said.

These "guidances" sounded very surprised Oaks, because as a goalkeeper, he usually relies on "luck" to save penalty kicks, and it was difficult to really react at that time, but Wan Sheng asked him to predict first... Can I still have time to react after predicting it?

Oaks is not clear.

"I'm just a suggestion. You can try to do that. They may not all shoot hard, but they may also pursue angles. When the ball is not fast, there will be a chance..." Wan Sheng added.

He knew that he should not put pressure on Oaks, but he increased the reaction speed by 100%. Some slow balls can definitely react. The only thing is that if the opponent shoots vigorously and the ball speed is very fast, it will definitely be too late to make a judgment before saving.

Of course, everything depends on Oaks' own performance.

After 'prompt' Oaks', Wan Sheng hurriedly signaled Derby County to make a substitution. He also had a substitution quota. According to the FA Cup rules, this quota can still be used in penalty shootouts. He left this substitution quota to Ian Taylor.

Ian Taylor did not play in this game because his physical fitness was a little unsatisfied. Until the end of the game, Wan Sheng still did not send him to the bench. But now it is the most critical moment. Ian Taylor's stable mentality and rich experience are still helpful to the team. Wan Sheng plans to let him get the first penalty kick.

The other four players who played free throws were quickly confirmed. Wan Sheng asked the players for their opinions, and combined with his understanding of the team, he arranged the order of appearances - the first one was Ian Taylor, followed by Frank Ribery, Leiden Bynes, Lee Morris and Weberson.

After both sides handed over the roster to the referee, the penalty shootout was about to begin.

Marcus helped the team draw a free throw first, and then waited for Manchester United goalkeeper Howard to stand in place, and Ian Taylor also walked over.

Taylor stood in front of the door and looked at Howard.

As the legendary star of Aston Villa, he has a lot of experience in playing penalty kicks. He knew that this was actually a mental contest between the players and the goalkeeper. He stood there and just looked at Howard. The two looked at each other. They were guessing what the other party was thinking.

The referee signaled that he could start the free throw.

Ian Taylor took two steps back, then trotted forward and kicked the ball.

Left corner!

The ball enters!

The football flew into the goal without any suspense, while Howard stood there and moved without moving. Immediately, the Derby County players and fans cheered.

Wan Sheng clenched his fists and smiled on his face. Taylor's mental quality was so good. Even though his shooting ability was actually very average, at this critical moment, it still depends on an old player with a stable mentality, because playing penalty kicks is more important than playing a shooting ability.

Manchester United's turn for the next goal.

Oaks was already standing in front of the door. He thought about what Wan Sheng said to him before, stretched his arms to feel his state. He felt that his state was extremely good. His mind was extremely clear at this time, and he didn't know why.

"Make a judgment first?" Oaks thought, "Maybe what the boss said is right."

Van Nie stood at the free throw point.

The Dutch shooter was placed in the first penalty kick by Ferguson. Facing the legendary "King of the Boundary Zone", Oaks was still very stressed. He half-squatted down and stared at Van Nie's feet carefully.

Van Nie started running.

After only two steps, he kicked the ball.

A direct powerful volley!

The shot was powerful and angled. Oaks accurately judged the direction at the first time, but he still couldn't save the ball. The football directly hit the left post and bounced into the goal.

This is an unsolved penalty.

Oaks stood up from the grass and shook his head helplessly. The ball was really not bad for him. He hit the post and bounced into the penalty kick, even if he performed well, it would be difficult to save.

In the second round, Frank Ribery stepped forward.

In front of the goal, Ribery looked at Howard cautiously. It was the first time he stood on such a big stage and felt a little excited. Although he knew that he shouldn't be like this, he still couldn't suppress this excitement when he thought about the moment when there were tens of millions of fans watching him.

As a result, when the shot was shot, Ribery was a little panicked. He couldn't suppress the force and kicked the ball away directly. The football flew high and landed on the stands, followed by a burst of cheers from the direction of Manchester United fans.

"He is still too young and has too little experience..." Wan Sheng shook his head regretfully.

Ribery lowered her head and walked towards her teammates in disappointment. The teammates patted his shoulder and comforted him a few words.

It's Manchester United's turn again, and this time it's C-Ronaldo.

c-Ronaldo played for Manchester United for a season, and he has been the absolute main force on the team's wing. Giggs is on the left and he can only be on the right. However, sometimes Giggs cannot play, and he will also play the left forward. His skills are still affirmed, and his ability in front of the goal is also favored.

He took Manchester United's second penalty.

c-Ronaldo stared at Oaks with an expression of distraction. He was thinking about playing at an angle, which was not difficult for him.

He assisted two steps and waved his kick and pushed the ball directly to the right!

Oaks focused on staring at C-Ronaldo's feet. He reacted almost immediately, and his movements and judgments were consistent. He rushed to the right side accurately. His hands reached the same position as the football - the football was pushed out of the bottom line by him!

"Derby County goalkeeper Oaks saved a penalty from C-Ronaldo!"

The live commentator exclaimed.

Manchester United fans were depressed in the stands, while Derby County cheered. This was the penalty shootout. In less than a minute, the lower side and cheering side completely fell.

c-Ronaldo stood there with a pretty surprised face.

He didn't expect that the ball he was pursuing was directly saved. The angle of the ball was tricky enough, but the opponent's goalkeeper performed better. He felt a little depressed. He was a penalty shootout, and his ball was saved. If he lost the game, he would be the sinner of the team's loss.

He lowered his head and walked back.

In the third round, Derby County played Leiden Bynes. When Bynes reached the free throw point, the commentator specifically introduced to the fans, "This is Derby County's young player full-back, Leiden Bynes, he scored the first goal with a long shot! We can look forward to his penalty..."

Bynes was also a little excited, but unlike Ribery, he had not experienced so many ups and downs. His football life was in the Wigan Athletic Youth Team. Not long after he was promoted to the first team, he transferred to Derby County.

Different experiences also create different hearts.

Bynes was quite the goal at this time, not many people were watching the game. When facing Howard, Bynes didn't think too much. He just took a step back and waved his feet and shot hard.

Howard knew that the Derby defender in front of him would definitely not pursue angles. For such defenders, players who play penalty kicks mainly based on strength, and few people pursue angles. Especially Bynes scored a long shot in the first half, and the long shot that deep memory for Howard was that he had full strength.

So he didn't make a judgment at all, so he found a direction as soon as possible and rushed over.

This is a chance.

But Bynes's ball was kicked against the goal. He rushed over and gave up the ball, and the football flew into the goal from the middle.

2:1, Derby County leads one goal.

It's Manchester United's turn again, and this time it's Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.

Solskjaer is a veteran and is already 31 years old. He joined Manchester United in 1996. He and York had been together for a while. However, after the century, with the arrival of Van Nie and Solskjaer was older, he became a substitute. However, his goal rate, especially the substitute, was very high, including the winning goal in the final moments of the 1998/99 Champions League final, so Solskjaer has the reputation of being a ‘super substitute’.

It goes without saying that Solskjaer's skills can have such a goal rate.
To be continued...