Chapter 162 Japan's Visit (5)
After Hamilton sent his report on his talks with Hirofumi Ito back to the UK, it immediately caused an uproar in the UK because Japan's behavior was actually equivalent to betrayal of the [Four-National Alliance]. Therefore, British officials and members of the Senate and House of Representatives all advocated that they must put greater pressure on Japan to force Japan to give up the consensus reached with the East China National Congress. Some radical MPs even argued that Japan should be kicked out of the [Four-National Alliance] immediately.
However, at this time, the head of the British leader was still very awake. He knew that once Japan was kicked out of the [Fourth League], it would only push Japan into the arms of the East China **, and the result would only lead to the [Fourth League] being killed in name only. Britain completely lost an important node to restrain the East China *** in the Far East, so there would be no more force to compete with the East China ** in the Far East. Not only was the British colonies in Southeast Asia difficult to preserve, but even India would face a huge threat. This is a huge loss that Britain could never afford. Therefore, the [Fourth League] is absolutely indispensable. Britain's strategy to treat Japan is still to fight. On the one hand, it should suppress Japan and improve its relationship with the East China **; on the other hand, it should also hold Japan and prevent Japan from withdrawing from the [Fourth League].
Of course, in the UK, some people also understand the fundamental reason why Japan improves its relations with East China is that it is like the UK putting pressure on it to regain tariff rights. After all, as a sovereign state, the tariff rights cannot be controlled by itself, which is really unreasonable. Therefore, some people argue that it is better to return the tariff rights to Japan to calm Japan's sentiment, and Japan will not get closer to East China.
However, this claim has also been opposed by many people. First, returning the tariff rights to Japan will reduce Britain's control over Japan. For Britain, of course, this is unwilling to do so. Second, it is because Britain is coerced by Japan and has to return the tariff rights to Japan, which makes Britain's face put. Moreover, once this example is opened, Japan, or other countries can also use similar methods to coerce Britain. So will the UK never have peace?
Moreover, Britain is not without cards in its hands, because Japan will not easily turn to East China. After all, Japan and East China have just fought a big battle. Not only was Japan beaten quite badly by East China, but more importantly, it completely interrupted Japan's upward momentum. Before East China participated in the war, Japan had achieved an absolute advantage on the battlefield, and victory over Russia is just around the corner. Once Japan wins the battle against Russia, it will gain great benefits in terms of economy, diplomacy, geostrategic structure, etc. Japan's national strength, international status, and regional influence will be greatly improved.
However, the participation of East China's war caused all Japan's efforts to be wasted. Not only did it not get any benefits, but East China's success achieved its rise through the victory of this battle, completely interrupting Japan's rising national destiny. In this case, Japan's desire to improve relations with East China's ** is not wrong in pragmatically, but it is difficult to accept emotionally.
Although it was an alliance, the UK also sent a large number of intelligence personnel in Japan. Over the past period of time, the changes in public opinion in Japanese society have certainly been reported back to the UK. Therefore, it is not so easy for Japan to really improve relations with East China. Some people argued that it would be better to take a cold approach, that is, not to take action for the time being, and then make a decision after seeing Japan's next move. Perhaps Japan saw that Britain was unmoved and after a while of dismantling it, it felt boring, so it stopped.
However, this suggestion is accused of being too weak to Japan, because Japan's actions clearly harmed the interests of Britain and the [Four-Nation Alliance]. Britain still ignored it, which is too unreasonable. Even if it cannot kick Japan out of the [Four-Nation Alliance], it should also put pressure on Japan from other aspects to let Japan know what the consequences will be if it violates Britain's will. After all, in addition to kicking Japan out of the [Four-Nation Alliance], Britain has other sufficient means, and can also unite France and Russia, which can make Japan suffer.
So the British and ** also took action immediately and negotiated with France and Russia. France and Russia were also very satisfied with Japan's resolutions, but the [Four-Country Alliance] was formed by the merger of the past [French-Russian Alliance] and the [British-Japanese Alliance]. Japan is generally considered to be the younger brother of Britain. Therefore, if you want to restrain Japan, it is naturally the UK. Now the UK is coming to negotiate the punishment of Japan. France and Russia are quite active.
After several rounds of negotiations, Britain, France and Russia jointly issued a diplomatic document to Japan, saying that if the Japanese parliament approved an agreement that was unfavorable to the [Four-Nation Alliance] with East China, the three countries will temporarily stop cooperation and agreements with Japan in political, military, economic and other aspects, and will also take further actions based on the development of the situation.
Although the [Four-Country Alliance] has just been established, the cooperation between Japan and the [Four-Country Alliance] member states is quite deep. Most of the compensation paid to East China is made by loans from Britain and France. At the same time, Britain and France also provide Japan with a large amount of funds to restore the domestic economy. Moreover, the economic relations between Japan and Britain and France are also very close. Japan imported a large amount of resources from the two countries' colonies in Southeast Asia and Australia and exported industrial products to these places. As Japan's economic and trade relations with China have dropped sharply, Japan's import and export trade with Southeast Asia and Australia is very important.
In addition, Japan and Britain have very close military cooperation. At the beginning of the year, they received two battleships from Japan, Kamashima, from Britain. Although Japan has no warships built in the UK, Japan has been negotiating with the UK to introduce British machinery and equipment, as well as related technologies for warship construction, such as naval guns, engines, fire control systems, armor, etc., to achieve the improvement of Japan's own warship manufacturing level.
If all these cooperations are stopped, it will indeed be a major loss for Japan. Therefore, Britain, France and Russia also believe that such pressure is enough to make Japan worry.
After receiving the diplomatic documents signed by the three countries, Hirofumi Ito also knew that Japan did make both Britain, France and Russia anxious this time, because the warnings given to Japan by the three countries were also quite severe. If these warnings became a reality, Japan would also suffer significant losses. Therefore, some people in the cabinet expressed concern about Hirofumi Ito's plan, believing that this plan was too risky and too stimulating the three countries of Britain, France and Russia. If the three countries were really anxious and kicked Japan out of the [Four-Country Alliance], it would be an unacceptable loss for Japan. It would be better to take a step back and temporarily rest the plan to stabilize the three countries of Britain, France and Russia, and then slowly find opportunities to recover the tariff rights.
However, Miyamoto Naotaku insisted on compromising with Britain, France and Russia, because although the warnings raised by the three countries were severe, they did not kick Japan out of the [Four-Nation Alliance]. This also shows that the three countries were very clear. Without Japan, the [Four-Nation Alliance] was actually in name only. As long as Japan was not kicked out of the [Four-Nation Alliance], although other content was strictly engraved, Japan could not afford it.
First of all, it is the loan issue. Japan has obtained the loan to pay the compensation and paid out, and it also signed an agreement on repayment and interest. Japan only needs to pay repayment and interest on time according to the agreement. The same is true for other loans to restore the economy. Of course, from then on, it can be borrowed from Britain and France, but the countries that can provide payment for the goods are not the only countries that can provide payment for the goods. The United States, Germany, and even Italy, Austro-Hungary Empire can also provide loans to Japan. They are both the United States and Germany, and they are also interested in expanding their sphere of influence in Asia. They are definitely interested in providing loans to Japan, and the interest will not be too high.
The second is the economic and trade issue. Japan now has a great dependence on the resources and markets of Southeast Asia and Austria, but this is because the economic and trade relations between Japan and China have dropped significantly. Once Japan and East China signed an economic and trade agreement, although it cannot sell large amounts of industrial products and import low-priced mineral resources like China, its dependence on the resources and markets of Southeast Asia and Austria will also be greatly reduced. In addition, the United States also has colonies in Asia, which can provide Japan with certain resources and markets. Therefore, Britain and France stopped military cooperation with Japan, and its impact on Japan was not as great as imagined.
Finally, there is military cooperation. Britain stopped military cooperation with Japan, which is indeed a major loss for Japan. However, Japan's top priority now is to develop its economy and restore its national strength. It is impossible for it to make a large military investment in the military within at least 2 or 3 years. After 2 or 3 years, Japan's tariff rights issue should be basically resolved. At that time, relations with Britain can be restored. In addition, military cooperation can also be found in other countries. In fact, Japan and Germany's military cooperation is also close. Before the Far East War, the Japanese army had the army learned from Germany and the navy learned from Britain. Although the navy can't learn from Britain, it can also ask Germany for help. After all, although the level of Germany's navy is not as good as that of Britain, it is still much stronger than Japan.
Based on these analysis, Naotao Miyamoto believes that although Britain, France and Russia have put a lot of pressure on Japan, it also exposed that the three countries dare not touch the bottom line. Therefore, Japan must withstand these pressures. If Japan fails to withstand the pressure of the three countries this time and compromise, it will be basically impossible to recover the tariff rights in the future.
Chapter completed!