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2470 Conspiracy calculation

Xiao Letian had thought a lot about the situation in Prussia and France before. With memories of his past life and his judgment on the current situation, Xiao Letian quickly gave the answer.

If we want to deal with France, we have to know where France's current core interests are. Currently, Britain and France occupy the largest number of colonies in the world. It can be said that it is very difficult for France to make a breakthrough in the colonies.

Why did they devote their whole country to building the Suez Canal? That was because they knew very well that it was impossible to expand through colonies. Britain would suppress them tightly, so he turned his attention to the Suez Canal and wanted to increase national strength by controlling major traffic channels.

But the British were not that stupid. They saw the purpose of the French, and the British also coveted the huge interests of the Suez Canal very much. Therefore, the Suez Canal has now become a complex situation of joint holdings between Britain and France, which is difficult to solve in the short term.

Putting aside global interests, because that is mainly the diplomatic conflict between Britain and France. The current conflict point between us and France is still in Europe, which means that the biggest threat to Napoleon III is the interests of Europe...

What is the core interest of France at present? Especially France's core interest in Europe? Don't talk about maritime security anymore, because that is the mission of the British Royal Navy, they will suppress France tightly, and Napoleon III had no way to face the Royal Navy.

The key to the remaining problem is that the security of the territory on land. We can take a closer look at the territorial composition of France. Its sides are the sea, the Mediterranean and the Atlantic Ocean, which limits the operational capabilities of other countries' armies. The biggest threat directly to its northern line is our German Federation.

What is the biggest threat to the southern line? It is Spain. In other words, if you want to find out the pulse of Napoleon III, you have to find a breakthrough from the north and south line. Why do we actively intervene in the Spanish throne? It is to disrupt the situation on the southern border of France.

After the Spanish Revolution, the first choice of the Spanish Provisional Government was to serve as the emperor of the German Hohenzollern royal family. Of course, this was not what Napoleon III wanted. He hoped to be a pro-French royal family and serve as the king of Spain.

This is related to the safety of the southern line of France and is an unnegotiable iron wire. Therefore, as long as we can hold this iron wire tightly, Napoleon III's emotions will be easy to control.

Not only the emotions of Napoleon III, but as long as we can carefully treat Spain as a wasp, we can also influence the emotions of nationalists in France.

First of all, we can influence public opinion. As long as we show a very, very great interest in the Spanish throne, then there will naturally be some French national fanatics who will jump out to find trouble for us. At that time, someone will put pressure on Napoleon III for us to force the war to break out!

Second, let’s turn our attention to the North Line. Where is the core conflict zone of the North Line? In Bavaria, Hesse, and Darmstadt and other areas.

These areas belong to areas where French and German are mixed with each other. The ethnic composition is very complex and the ethnic structure is very chaotic. Therefore, Germany and France have demands for its sovereignty. In fact, no matter which country these territories are given, they can find their own basis in international law.

Napoleon III felt that he remained neutral in the Prussia war, so we Prussia must ced the lands as a thank you. To be honest, his requests make sense in the eyes of many European kings.

But it is precisely this reason that makes sense, but it is the best opportunity for us to fight for South Germany. I think you have already started to make arrangements, I respect the Prime Minister.

The attitudes of these small states such as Southern Germany are very ambiguous. First of all, they do not want to be annexed by the French, and secondly, they do not want to be annexed by Prussia. These weak states only have one thing they want, that is, to always protect their own interests and remain independent forever.

But unfortunately, this world no longer gives them space to independence, and they must make a choice under the threat of war.

When the two strong men compete, they can only choose one side, and the two evils are the least. So who is the lightest side? It is obviously our Prussia.

Because after all, the rulers of these regions belong to the German cultural circle as Prussia, and are closer in culture and emotion.

In this case, we can make a big fuss about the threat from France, allowing the king to appropriately give up some bargaining chips to these kings of South Germany, so that they can guarantee their future unification interests.

I think under the dual effect of interests and national feelings, the final scale of war will definitely turn to Germany, and these southern states will never come together with the French.

We can now carry out these small actions secretly, interfering with Spain and interfering with countries like South Germany in a very secretive way. Napoleon III will never be aware of them in the early stage. On the contrary, we will also give him some anesthesia to stabilize his emotions.

We can show our desire for peace on various occasions and can appropriately admit defeat.

Only in this way can the pace of France's preparation for war. When most people in their country think that the possibility of a war is not high, those financial fans will not waste countless money on the preparation for war.

That is, a country's usury loan owner, isn't it better to have money to lend money to interest on usury than to consume meaningless preparations?

By this summer, by the time we are fully prepared, we will find the right time to expose all the facts of the Spanish issue, the northern border area of ​​France, that is, the Southern Germany region.

By that time, Napoleon III, who was so angry, would definitely take the initiative to start a war. As long as he proactively declares war on us, everything will be in control.

Bisme smiled happily, "My old friend, your plan is exactly the same as mine, but I still have a little concern..."

"I analyze Napoleon III's character, which should be a fanatical type, but there are still a group of very rational politicians in France. Even his queen Eugenie is a very scheming woman. What if they persuaded the crazy emperor at that time?"

"Although the 62-year-old man is very fanatical, the old guys at this age sometimes have soft ears. Their emotions are not stable. What should we do if the wind pipe next to the pillow of Queen Eugenie is used?"

"How to defeat those calm old foxes in French politics? Are you better off?"

Xiao Letian smiled faintly, "That won't happen. I'm sure Napoleon III will declare war... He will declare war on us regardless of anyone's dissuasion!"

"Because I still have a killer weapon that I haven't used!"
Chapter completed!
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