In fact, no matter how good Li Su's other scam measures are, even Liu Pi and Gong Du used the options, resulting in Cheng Yu's IQ, there was no flaw or suspicion at all.

However, if Cheng Yu can stabilize for a while, don’t be so anxious, be a friend of time and use time to wait for Li Su to leak flaws, then at most, he will be able to see the problem in more than ten days.

All information and concealment are time-efficient. The longer it hides, the more difficult it is, and the supporting work required will increase by a factor of increase.

Not to mention anything else, just talk about Li Su's bluff. If eight days later, Zhou Yu and Yu Jin will retreat to Niuzhu.

Even when Li Su first chased Niuzhu, he had the excuse of "preparing to land and camp, attacking Zhou Yu Water Village on the water and land", it would take three or four days to prepare. Then, if you have a full plan, Li Su will have to attack Niuzhu in twelve days.

But everyone from the perspective of God knows that Li Su's army actually has many relatively poor combat power, and there are 20,000 Hebei soldiers who can't withstand the heat of the dog days at all, and will fall into a scattered heatstroke and fall ill after fighting. After entering the dog days at night, his flaws of being unable to attack the dog days at night will immediately leak out.

Even if you stayed to Zhou Yu for three days and reported the news, you would convey the above doubts to Xiahou Dun and Cheng Yu, at most, it would be fifteen days later, which was only half a month later.

So, even if Cheng Yu is fooled now, after half a month, he will regret it if he slapped his thigh and realize that he has been fooled-

Of course, if Cheng Yu had not helped Xiahou Dun's counselor, relying on Xiahou Dun's own intelligence or Cao Ren's intelligence, their reaction might have been slower. It took more than 20 days later, and even after Yuan Shao was cheated on the northern line, their brains could react.

The difference between an intelligence of 90 and 60 or 70 is that although he was deceived by a person with 100 in the beginning, as long as the negative evidence appears, he will immediately wake up. Even if the latter gives him a counter-proof, as long as it is not conspicuous enough, he will not associate too much, and even if he wakes up for many days than a high-IQ strategist.

But no matter what, Li Su's requirements are not high at all. It is enough to deceive the enemy for half a month.

Half a month may not be enough for the army to travel thousands of miles from Huainan to Hebei, but if it is just a quick horse to send a message and the military report urgently, three days will be enough for him to send him from Hefei to Juancheng and Puyang, and in two more days, you can cross the Yellow River to Yecheng.

Leave a few more days for Yuan Shao to be indecisive and leave a few days for the other counselors of Yuan Shao's army who were jealous and Jushu to slander. It took about ten days for Yuan Shao to fall into the trap.

As long as Yuan Shao realized that "it is not the shape of Changping but the shape of a giant deer, continuing to stalemate is to let Liu Bei defeat each one", and forcing Ju Su to turn defense into offense, even if he finds he is deceived later, it will be too late.

Li Su never asks to deceive the enemy for the rest of his life, as long as he deceives him after a crushing defeat, it is enough.

...

On the fifth day of June, the third morning after Cheng Yu finished writing the secret, it was also the same time when Zhou Yu on the southern front, Yu Jin had just given up on Wuhu and continued to retreat to Niuzhu.

Cheng Yu's secret memorial had been sent to Dingtao by the Kuaima Messenger, which is the current Yanzhou Governor's Governor's Territory under Cao Cao's rule.

When Cao Cao first arrived in Yanzhou, because he had only the territory of Dongjun, he set up the capital of Yanzhou in Juancheng of Dongjun. Before Cao Cao came, the capital of Yanzhou was Changyi, Shanyang County controlled by Liu Dai.

In history, after Cao Cao took the emperor to order the princes, he went to Xuchang, Yingchuan, Yuzhou, and left Cheng Yu as the prefect of Jiyin to supervise Yanzhou affairs. The Yanzhou capital naturally went to Dingtao, Jiyin County.

Now, Cao Cao did not hold the emperor, but because after the "Guandu Battle" with Yuan Shao a few years ago, he reached a secret agreement to divide Yuan Shu's territory as the boundary. Xuchang is now in Yuan Shao's hands, and Chen Liu is too close to the front line of Honggou, which is unsafe. By chance, Cao Cao still set up the General of the Chef and Cavalry in Dingtao.

After all, only Yanzhou is Cao Cao's core territory and the people are at their highest control. Xuzhou has had resentment to massacre the city before, and the people are not as stable as Yanzhou, while Yuzhou has just won less than one year.

Cao Cao certainly trusted Cheng Yu's judgment very much. After reading it, he recognized the evidence-based facts and accepted them completely. He just felt that there was still some need to be considered in response strategies, so he called Guo Jia.

"When Xiao, Zhongde came to report that Li Su attacked Sun Quan, and his troops were strong, and he probably had less than 150,000 troops to use. This is not the only force he left to guard Jingzhou.

In Tongbai alone, among the mountains, Wang Ping used Wudang flying troops to raise Runan. There were no less than 30,000 people in Lujiang. It is said that he quickly incorporated the remnants of the Yellow Turban Remnants Liu Pi and Gong Du, who were entrenched in the local area.

Zhongde suggested that Yuan Shao take the initiative to ask him to share his worries, and stop the attack on Gao Shun and Wang Ping from the territory of Yuan Shao. At the same time, he instigated Yuan Shao to take the opportunity to attack Liu Bei in Hebei and allocate Liu Bei's troops to the southern princes. What do you think? You can take a look at this first, and you think there are flaws."

Guo Jia bowed and took the letter respectfully. He carefully saw it from the beginning and thought it was very cautious. When he was about to come, he firmly suggested:

"Ming Gong, what Zhongde saw, I thought I was very cautious and the facts would not be wrong. We are six hundred miles away, so it is not easy to grasp more clues about the front army.

However, my subordinates think that the key is not whether the truth we have mastered is sufficient and there is no mistake, but whether it is beneficial to us to make Yuan Shao take all his bets and send troops with all his strength.

To be honest, if Li Su makes a little trick, he will make a bluff in the south. What is he trying to do? At most, he will lure Yuan Shao to attack on the northern line.

In the past few months, Guan Yu, Zhuge Liang and Ju Su, Wen Chou, Zhang Liao, Zhang He, and Qu Yi have fought. Guan Yu turned into an attack, with few soldiers but excellent soldiers. I heard that Guan Yu was obviously more excellent in the equipment, just because Liu Bei's country is rich and his people are good at craftsmanship.

However, Ju Su squeezed several lines of defense, retreated in time, defended in depth, and forced Guan Yu to fight a war of attrition, not giving Guan Yu a deep breakthrough and a chance to divide, encircle and annihilate Yuan's army, which also made it difficult for Guan Yu to make progress.

After all, Liu Bei has few soldiers, and the protracted and long-lasting battle to fight hard with life was not what Liu Bei wanted at this moment. This is why since April, we have observed that Guan Yu's offensive has gradually faded, and the news sent from the front was mostly caused by Guan Yu's clamor, but there was no real attack.

Under this situation, it is not impossible for Li Su to use fraud and cooperate with Liu Bei and Guan Yu to deceive Yuan Shao into sending troops. Even if we don’t catch any flaws, what we should be more concerned about is that if Yuan Shao and Liu Bei both suffer and Sun Quan is almost surrendered to us, will this situation be beneficial to us?"

After hearing Guo Jia's words, Cao Cao felt a little uncomfortable and bowed toward Yecheng:

"It was originally a model in the world and a pillar of the country. Now our Guandong princes work together to support the Han Dynasty for His Majesty. We should abandon our selfish thoughts to deal with Liu Bei's pseudo-dynasty. If we plot against each other, we may benefit Liu Bei's fisherman."

Guo Jia continued to tempt without hesitation: "So, we can't just sit quietly and watch Mr. Yuan fight with Liu Bei. If Mr. Yuan really takes the initiative to attack, we must also help his army to check for the missing and not be surrounded and annihilated by Liu Bei's design, and grow up with the story.

Whether it is Zhao in Changping or Qin in Julu, how many soldiers and horses are actually killed on the battlefield? It is mainly because after the morale of the army collapsed, they surrendered and were killed hundreds of thousands of them.

Even if Yuan Shao's attack is unfavorable, as long as it is not surrounded by a built-up land and forced landing, which leads to a waste of money, it is the best situation for us - that is, let Liu Bei and Yuan Shao die only and not annihilate it. If Yuan Shao and Liu Bei are weak, the emperor's dependence on Ming Gong will be stronger.

My subordinates always believed that during the Warring States Period, even if Qin had already descended to Chu or even Qin and Chu were one, as long as the Three Jins and Qi Yan and other five remaining countries worked together, they could still compete with Qin, who had won Chu.

Qin and Chu were both broad and barren mountains and dangerously divided, while the world was rich and fertile, and the fertile land was in the Central Plains. Liu Bei’s country is now strong, but it was just a matter of skill. But skillful things can be learned, especially among civil and commercial enterprises. As long as there is commerce, merchants can steal. They worked for a few years first and accumulated advantages. When we learn it, both sides will be the same.

Therefore, now our military and national strength seem to be in a passive position compared to the Liu Bei puppet dynasty on the battlefield. The key is that our dynasty's rule is divided into three parts, and we cannot really use our fingers. As the saying goes, we must first settle the country when we fight against foreign countries. As long as the Ming Duke integrates the forces of Yuan and Sun, work hard to govern and promote Liu Bei's civil affairs skills, he can still surpass Liu Bei in time."

Cao Cao was a little embarrassed to say it. He hadn't thought about these things before? He also understood the basic principles, but the problem was that he felt it was too unrealistic.

In this life, Guo Jia never said to him, "Ming Gong and Yuan Shao had ten wins and ten defeats", because the conditions had changed long ago.

In history, Cao Cao urged the emperor. Yuan Shao wanted to establish Liu Yu and even had a marriage with Liu Xie, so that Cao Cao could win and lose ten times. Now Yuan Shao established Liu He with the remaining momentum of establishing Liu Yu, and Yuan Shao's relationship with the emperor was so close that he could no longer be close.

Cao Cao was the one who opposed the former King of Yan, the father of today. Cao Cao didn't dare to think that he would have a festive emperor like a hot potato. How could he start to talk about it later?

However, it was the situation that has developed to this point. Although other conditions are not mature, two conditions have been matured and have been keenly observed by Guo Jia, who is also considered to have a high IQ.

So Guo Jia did not say "ten wins and ten losses", but instead focused on the points that he felt were promising:

"Ming Gong, Yuan Shao's prestige and power in our dynasty are indeed not two. It is true that Gong Ming Gong can compete for the battle. However, Yuan Shao is indecisive, harsh and timid, greedy for beauty and perfection. These weaknesses can be used by Gong Ming Gong.

Ming Gong and Yuan Shao were also considered as friends of young people, and Jia often heard Ming Gong say that he had worked with Yuan Shao in Luoyang when he was young. Yuan Shao was a man who had been successful since childhood and met many noble people. When he was fighting against Dong, he suddenly became the leader of the alliance. The world was restored and the world was smooth sailing.

But even such a person has a very difficult and severe setback and is prone to falling back. In addition, Yuan Shao spoiled his young son and as a general of the court, he sent three sons and nephews to take charge of one state, and there was no distinction between legitimate and illegitimate wife. In addition, Yuan Shao was much older than Ming Duke, and these were all opportunities for Ming Duke.”

Cao Cao's eyes rolled around a few times. If Guo Jia said anything else, he would have to think more about it. However, Guo Jia analyzed the personality weaknesses of his old buddy Yuan Shao. Cao Cao was so familiar with him.

Of course, Cao Cao knew what Yuan Shao's temper was, and he also knew what Yuan Shao's psychological quality was and how proud he was.

In fact, indecisive people are actually very conservative and perfectionist.

It is because they love face that they are indecisive, afraid of failure, afraid of imperfect attitude, and worry about gains and losses.

Could it be that Yuan Shao suffered some serious setbacks on the battlefield, or was slapped in the face by the enemy and was so embarrassed that he would be unable to think about it and be seriously ill?

Yuan Shao's three sons were in charge of one state. If Yuan Shao himself was in trouble, because the position of the general was not naturally inherited within the current Liuhe dynasty in Guandong, and it seemed that Cao Cao could not seize Yuan Shao's position through political struggles in the court rather than military battles...

This is an opportunity to defeat the enemy from the inside. Anyway, Cao Cao doesn't have to really turn against the Yuan family. He can choose to support one of Yuan Shao's sons at the beginning.

From this perspective, the key to Yuan Shao's defeat in history was not the Battle of Guandu or even the Battle of Cangting, but the death of Yuan Shao himself.

Even if Yuan Shao's territory and army were well preserved when he was dying, as long as a civil war broke out, Cao Cao helped Yuan Shao's sons fight against other sons, and if he continued to divide and disintegrate, Yuan Shao's basic foundation would not be able to withstand it.
Chapter completed!