Faced with Li Jue's "using it with common sense", Jia Xu really couldn't find any ironclad evidence to refute it.

Because in this world, at this point, the scale of "loyal ministers of the Han Dynasty" is at least half less than two years ago. It is entirely possible for Li Jue to say that Liu Bei has selfish intentions and no longer wants to support the central court.

Jia Xu carefully said, "In my opinion, Liu Bei is very elusive. I put myself in my shoes and thought it was his true intention. At this time last year, he shouldn't have fought for the so-called rescue, but he came.

From this point of view, there is no doubt that Liu Bei's loyalty to the emperor was almost desperate. And from this we can see that in the Yizhou army, Liu Bei was absolutely arbitrary. Not only was he not bewitched by treacherous people, no one could even make him absolutely obey his plans.

But after he was injured and stayed in seclusion, over the past six months, the attitude and style of the Yizhou army to expand externally were very different from the ones when Liu Bei was expedition last year. I suspect that either Liu Bei was seriously injured and had repeated tortures and his temperament changed drastically. Or because of his injury, he did not take care of the government in detail and let the small things go, and was blinded by Li Su, Xun You, Fa Zheng and others."

Li Jue didn't want to ask him for reasons, so he asked the other party to give a conclusion directly: "That is to say, you also think that Liu Bei is now 'grabbing territory by himself in the name of supporting the court'? Just say it's right!"

Jia Xu could not avoid it, so he had to answer positively: "Yes...but Li Su has always been insidious. Maybe he deliberately let Liu Bei act like this, so that we can relax our guard-

Don’t you think there is too much evidence that “Liu Bei just wants to expand his territory by saving the court”? If something goes wrong, there will be evil. For example, “Zhao Yun invaded Jingnan and robbed Jiaozhou”, and for example, Liu Bei just heard that this year, he promoted water conservancy in Jianwei County. Those praises were compared with Li Bing, Li Bing, and he also said that he would carry out a “rental and mediocre” reform for the Northern Expedition.

This has been too much, and I put my heart on it. If our army lacks food, pay and military supplies, and is preparing for short-term wars within two or three years, will we build water conservancy and reforms? Not to mention the distant future, the Zheng Guo Canal left over from the pre-Qin period is located in Guanzhong, on the banks of the Wei River. It is now in disrepair this year. Have we maintained it in the past two years?"

Li Jue said without thinking: "Who would be so stupid as to prepare for war and water conservancy in order to reorganize the army? Although he didn't study, he knew that the Koreans lured the Qin people to build the Zheng Guo Canal and exhausted their national strength, which made the Qin people unable to go east for ten years to start a war. Later, although the national strength rose sharply, it would be a long time later. If you want to take effect quickly, just grab it!"

When Li Jue said this, he was not ashamed at all, and seemed to be talking about something like eating and drinking water.

Because he and Guo Si did this and were used to it.

Isn’t it just a plundering army? How can we support more and more troops if we don’t do this?

In the Guanzhong area and Liangzhou, when Dong Zhuo first moved 1.5 million people from Sili, the total population soared to the point where it exceeded the five million mark, which was once more than the peak population during the Xiping period.

However, when Dong Zhuo died, there were only about 4.5 million left, and 600,000 to 700,000 were the ones that Dong Zhuo had to deal with in the two years that he had been in Chang'an. The average annual population loss reached 300,000.

However, compared with Li Ju and Guo Si, Dong Zhuo's destruction in Guanzhong is considered a pediatric department. In the second half of 192, because of the anti-killing of Wang Yun and fighting with Liu Bei, the war in Guanzhong was tug-of-war, and the population was reduced to over four million, with a maximum of 42, which means that 300,000 people were reduced in half a year, which was twice the rate of population decline compared to Dong Zhuoshi.

In the first seven months of this year, it fell by 200,000 to 300,000, and now it has fallen below the 4 million mark, and it is about 3.9 million on the list. Among them, 2.8 million in Guanzhong, and Liangzhou is more than 1 million.

It’s not time for a large-scale war. After the large-scale war in history, whether it was the repeated tug-of-war with Han Sui and Ma Teng or the internal strife of Li Jue and Guo Si, it was a crazy operation that sharply reduced the population of the northwest by nearly one million every year.

From this perspective, the later Liu Bei's northern expedition, the deeper Li Jue and Guo Si's harm to Guanzhong. In fact, if he didn't beat him in a few years, he would kill himself to no one, but the people would be miserable. What's the use of taking back a Guanzhong where nine out of ten families is empty and uninhabited?

It was a bit far from that. After hearing Li Jue's shameless self-analysis, Jia Xu followed and said: "Since you know this truth, you can see that Liu Bei showed too many signs of "a long-term plan for five or ten years later", so many of them that I suspect that Li Su's suspicion was released.

Maybe Liu Bei did not promote water conservancy in Shu at all, nor did he really hurt the reforms, just to paralyze us. We must completely relax our vigilance against Liu Bei and determine that he would not dare to leave the customs within a few years unless it was to let me see the ironclad evidence that their real success in the development of water conservancy and reforms!"

Li Jue scratched his hair impatiently: "What is the ironclad evidence for this kind of thing? Can the powerful families in Shu be forced to survive by reform and flee from Shu County and wander around. Can we catch them and ask? Even if the powerful people in Shu are beaten by Liu Bei, they will not go to Baoxi Road or Chencang Road to Guanzhong. If they want to run, they will run to Taiping Jingzhou."

Jia Xu stretched out a finger and shook it: "There are many kinds of evidence, and it may not be reliable to ask directly. It may also be a false report. Only by following the money can you not cheat people - for example, in recent months, a new type of Shu brocade has also appeared on the market, with a very wide range and more than five feet long. When cutting clothes, they can be seamless. I should have seen it?"

Li Jue: "So what? I didn't look at Jin, but the robe was worn, which was really good."

Li Jue is not a person who cares about giving birth, so how could he care about how the new clothes he was made? He only knew that a few months ago, the three imperial court officials all wore robes with no stitch seams, only the sleeves were connected to the main body of the clothes, and there were seams in several places such as the sleeves and the main body of the clothes. Since others were wearing them, Li Jue of course also had to wear them.

As for how it becomes a finished product, it has nothing to do with him.

Jia Xu analyzed: "Although this thing is expensive, the volume of goods on the market is extremely unstable. If Liu Bei really wants to implement the reform of the renting and mediocre adjustment law, according to the terms I know, there is a possibility: that is, because this brocade began to appear last year, and this year Liu Bei allowed the Shu people to pay the brocade tax deduction. After the announcement, the people stored the brocade and did not dare to take out for food in order to pay taxes, and had to wait for tax payments, so the goods were less.

If the outflow of Shujin really surges after the tax revenue in September autumn, then I can't believe that Liu Bei really implemented the rent and mediocre method, and even the tax collection was collected - I only believe in money, not what the enemy said verbally."

After all, before the tax revenue in September Autumn was over, Jia Xu, the old fox, bit him to death, disagree with Li Jue to relax his vigilance against Liu Bei. Chen Cang must be heavily defended, and Mei County at the entrance of Baoxiedao Valley must also focus on defense.

Although the plank road of Baoxie Road was burned when it was cut off by Cheng Ji last year, do you know that Lu Su has secretly repaired the plank road from the south in the past year of guarding Hanzhong? What if the insidious Lu Su has almost completed the plank road, the slightest bit from the exit to the north has not been completed, and the moment he has completed the cultivation, wouldn't the army come out from there?

Jia Xu described all these possibilities to Li Jue, but Li Jue was willing to listen, but he didn't listen all of them.

Li Jue smiled and said, "Chen Cang must be strictly prevented, that's right. Wenhe, don't be too careful. I know you are assisting me wholeheartedly. I won't be with Zhang Ji, and I won't be suspicious of him. However, there is no need to prevent him in Ji County. Even if the Baoxie Road is repaired, Liu Bei will not go north from there. The plank road cannot transport grain at all."

Jia Xu: "You don't need to focus on defense too much, but now in July and August, you must be strictly guarded. This is the season for harvesting wheat in Guanzhong. If Lu Su suddenly attacks the plank road, only sends troops but does not transport grain, and immediately robs a batch of grain, and then sets up a camp in Wuzhangyuan to steadily, it will not be easy to remove."

Li Jue: "Okay, then I'll be wary of two more months. In two months, the autumn grain will be harvested and stored, and the taxes will be paid in Guanzhong and Shu. At that time, whether Liu Bei will promote water conservancy and reform the tax system will be able to tell whether it is true or not."

Jia Xu finally breathed a sigh of relief: Looking at Li Jue's attitude, he finally did not relax his defense against Liu Bei for the time being.

While talking about this topic today, Jia Xu did not forget to add some daily tips to Li Jue, and then continued: "Liu Bei wants to attack us, and the biggest problem is transporting grain. Therefore, the most dangerous time of each year is to prevent the enemy from entering the country suddenly, and then transfer it to the defense and wait for assistance.

In addition to the autumn harvest, we should also be careful of slack farming in summer, but we generally do not take the Baoxi Road to raid, but Chen Cang. He had to transport grain at least for two months regardless of the loss, and even strive to capture Chen Cang within two months, and then take advantage of the autumn harvest to raise grain on the spot in Guanzhong. That year, Emperor Gaozu asked Han Xin to secretly travel to Chen Cang, but it was August of the first year of the Han Dynasty.

The most unlikely event of the Northern Expedition is the Qinling Mountains being blocked with heavy snow in the cold winter and the spring plowing time. Unless Liu Bei was not sincere in the Northern Expedition, he hoped to shake flags and shout during the spring plowing time, destroy people's production, and then return.

But Liu Bei has always been the name of cherishing benevolence and righteousness, and he is not very good at doing such a tired people. If he really did it, we would be more at ease for a year - because after he destroyed the spring plowing, it means that even if he came in the autumn that year, he would not receive food, so he would definitely not come for the whole year."

After analyzing the risks of attack in each season in a clear manner, Li Jue was relieved and said, "Since that's the case, I plan to take advantage of the risk of autumn harvest to counterattack Han Sui, Ma Teng, and Wenhe, who are ready to attack Han Sui, Ma Teng, and Wenhe, what do you think? Han Sui and Ma Teng want to invade Guanzhong, which is more convenient than Liu Bei.

Moreover, you and I are well aware of the nature of Qiang and Hu. We know that when they are tall and fat every autumn, they will come to Guanzhong to grab food and grass even if they are not short of the land. Last year, Fan Chou and Dong Yue were killed, and Chen Cang was empty. At that time, Han Sui failed to catch up because winter was approaching, and now he wants to collect grain. I am afraid he will not miss this opportunity. Wen He has a way to attack head-on, so that our army will be prevented from being attacked by Liu Bei in the future. Han Sui joins hands to attack at the same time. By the way, he can also break it to establish his authority."

Li Jue's concern is definitely very necessary. Because in history, Han Sui and Ma Teng took the initiative to attack Chang'an under the banner of serving the king in March 194, and even colluded with Liu Yan.

However, in history, Li Jue was more alert and killed several sons of Liu Yan who were officials in the Chang'an court in advance, removed other internal advisers, and then repelled Han Sui and Liu Yan respectively.

But now, due to the losses of Dong Yue and Fan Chou in early winter last year, the defenders in Chen Cang were so weaker than in the same period in history, and the probability of Han Sui robbing by the autumn harvest in 193 has been very high.

Li Jue and Guo Si must solve the problem of "don't let Liu Bei and Han Sui and Ma Teng attack at the same time". The best way is to either take the initiative or lure one of the parties to attack in advance, and provide Li Jue with a time difference to defeat each one.

Jia Xu touched his beard: "Han Sui's dog thieves are indeed not to be wary of. We are worried about Liu Bei's northern expedition and are also wary of Liu Bei's northern expedition. We can create some false news and lure Han Sui to take the initiative to mistakenly think that Liu Bei is going to send troops to deal with us immediately, so that Han Sui can't hold back and take action in advance. This will prevent our army from expeditioning thousands of miles to Xiliang to kill him."

Li Jue: "How to deploy it specifically? How to lure and kill South Korea and horses?"

Jia Xu: "It's better to do this..."

——

PS: The outline has been revised, and I also know that everyone does not like to look at these enemies who have no detailed deeds in history. But Guanzhong and Xiliang battlefields are a whole. In order to explain the situation of various parties before the protagonist's Northern Expedition, I had to write about the internal conflicts between Li Guo and Han Sui and Ma Teng and Li Guo. I try to shorten the length and enter the protagonist's Northern Expedition as soon as possible.
Chapter completed!