Chapter 9 Who controls the ups and downs
In March, there are shining willows, and a strong spring feeling floats in the courtyard.
A few side dishes were placed in the pavilion, and Chongzhen and Wang Chengen drank on the railings for a drink. The spring breeze was gentle, but it could not blow away the depressed heart.
Chongzhen looked at the two palace maids standing with their heads down not far away, and the two eunuchs in the distance, sighed and chanted: When will the spring flowers and autumn moon come, how much will it know about the past!
Wang Chengen also followed it, and the two of them chanted at the same time: The small building was windy again last night, and my hometown was unbearable to look back at the moonlight!
The two looked at each other, then raised their glasses and took a sip of wine at the same time.
Chongzhen said with emotion: "The mountains and rivers are broken, and Li Yu is worthy of a generation of poets. Such a lyric that blends the situation and is deeply touching is really a perfect sound in the world!"
Wang Chengen curled his lips, but said, "A emperor, if you don't do serious things, you can fill in Huajian poems, how can you not destroy the country! Song Huizong was the same, sent love, calligraphy and painting, forgot about the state affairs, and ruined the good Northern Song Dynasty."
Chongzhen smiled bitterly: "I, the emperor, worked hard day and night, but he still destroyed his country!"
"It's still the poems of Mao Taizu in later generations that have momentum: Ask the vast earth, who is responsible for ups and downs! Not to mention "Qinyuanchun·Snow", just like this sentence, "Ask who is responsible for ups and downs in vast earth," is so powerful! What does it mean to look down on the world? Old Mao is so domineering!" Wang Chengen showed a yearning look. He thought, compared to Old Mao, although Li Yu and Song Huizong were also talented, when it comes to being a leader, why is the gap between people so big?
Chongzhen took a sip of wine and said, "Yes! In today's world, who is the vast land? Is it the Qing Dynasty who is in charge of the Central Plains? Or is it Li Zicheng firmly in the country? Or is the Southern Ming counterattack of the Central Plains? Hello, you said we reminded Li Zicheng like this, will Li Zicheng firmly be in the country?" Gong Daming thought to himself, after this reminder, Li Zicheng stabilized the rear, recruited Wu Sangui, and resisted the Qing army outside. Maybe he would have done the world in one or two years. Being a idle person, even doing football or something, developing competitive sports is worthy!
But Wang Chengen replied very bluntly: "Let me just say it, the possibility of Li Zicheng staying firmly is very small! Unless you are asked to be the prime minister and I am the military advisor."
Chongzhen smiled bitterly and said, "Stop talking nonsense, dreaming! I'm still the prime minister and military advisor. It's good to kill people without using a knife! Let's remind the right staff right now, how much risk is it to take! Do you know the risk of beheading? The more we give him advice, the more Li Zicheng will treat us as a big problem! We must try to talk as little as possible in the future, and we must also pretend to be stupid if we are not stupid. I, the laid-off emperor, still so sharp and conscientious, aren't we looking for death! But I think they are indeed a bit overwhelmed! The more I think about it, the more I feel that Mao Taizu's united front strategy is powerful in later generations, gradually infiltrating, differentiating and disintegrating, step by step, easy first and then difficult, uniting the majority, isolated the very few, etc., not as rough and simple as Li Zicheng!"
Wang Chengen nodded and said, "That's right. So you didn't see the idea I gave them. You didn't say that you were borrowing all the money, but only said that you donate half of the money and borrow half of it. I was worried that if Li Zicheng fails, you will still have to pay for these government debts at that time, so you will be less."
Chongzhen looked stunned: "I'm here to pay the bill?"
Wang Chengen looked unquestionable:
"Of course! We might as well deduce the next step of the situation development. After deducing, you will find that you really have to pay the bill in the end, and of course, you will pay the bill as the best ending!"
Chongzhen jokingly said, "I said, when did you start fortune-telling? How is the situation going now? There are big changes! Besides, it's not my turn, and I won't make this order even if it's my turn."
Wang Chengen was serious and showed Du Yidian's seriousness, but he looked like he was pointing out the country. He pointed his fingers and said:
"We are technically born, and do not believe in any theory and divination, but believe in logical reasoning. The current situation does have many variables, such as a multivariable objective function. If we go far, we don't have to consider establishing a mathematical model. As long as we reason according to normal logical reasoning is enough. We list several main factors and analyze the reasoning, we can basically draw the future trend and at least find the clues of the situation."
"Yeah, keep going."
"First of all, let's analyze Wu Sangui. Wu Sangui's battle of Song Jin, he followed Wang Pu to escape. It can be seen that he has no principles. In the final analysis, it is warlords' idea, preserving strength first and making second efforts to the country. So even if Wu Sangui didn't vote for the Qing Dynasty at the beginning and turned to Li Zicheng, it is inevitable that he will be the first to both ends of the rat."
"I agree with this."
"Suppose Wu Sangui surrendered to Li Zicheng at the beginning, based on the two factors of preserving his strength and fearing the Qing soldiers, he would definitely avoid participating in the war when the Qing soldiers and Li Zicheng started a war, so he would try his best to avoid participating in the war, so he would sit in the mountains and watch the tiger fight. The Qing soldiers would also avoid Wu Sangui and leave room for surrendering Wu Sangui in the future, so the Qing soldiers would definitely choose other routes to enter the pass. Therefore, Wu Sangui would at most play a role in hindrance, and Li Zicheng and the Qing soldiers were destined to be a one-on-one fight."
Seeing Chongzhen nodding, Wang Chengen continued to analyze according to his thoughts:
"In this way, our analysis below will be simple. In fact, there are not many winners and losers that need to be considered in the duel between Qing Bing and Li Zicheng."
Wang Chengen took a sip of wine and continued: "The first is military strength. In terms of strategy, tactics, individual combat capabilities and combat will, the Qing soldiers were far higher than Li Zicheng's troops, and only in terms of quantity."
"Not bad! In terms of the combat power of the Qing soldiers, I'm afraid that Li Zicheng's three times the strength of the troops is not the opponent." Chongzhen said in his heart that even if Li Zicheng is four times the Qing soldiers, it is still unknown who will win.
"Secondly, in terms of talents, the Qing army included Dorgon, Duoduo, Haoge, Abatai, etc., with many powerful generals, and political talents were Hong Chengchou Wencheng; Li Zicheng's army was only one Liu Zongmin, and the rest were all insignificant. The political talents under Li Zicheng, Niu Jinxing and Song Xiance were only the best of the people. It was okay to be a county magistrate, but the talent was too far behind in governing the country. Li Yan's talent was slightly better, and he could only be a senior staff officer. It can be said that in terms of talents, the Qing Dynasty had a greater advantage."
"Niu Jinxing, Song Xiance is indeed mediocre, and Li Yan is also immature. It is naturally incomparable to the Wencheng of Hong Chengchou!" Chongzhen glanced at the palace maid not far away and found that there was nothing unusual, and his nervous mood was a little relaxed.
Wang Chengen nodded and continued his high argument: "In terms of support from the rear, the Qing Dynasty operated in Liaodong for 36 years, with a solid foundation, and after conquering Mongolia and North Korea, it is more powerful. The rear can be said to be without worries. Li Zichang was a bandit, and Beijing would definitely attract people's attention because of recovering stolen money and helping pay. Although Xi'an had some operations, Shaanxi had constant natural disasters, and there was no cause for food. What's the use of gold and silver? Therefore, Li Zicheng had no reliable rear, and once the grain transportation was cut off, the food and grass were at risk, so the rear was limited, which was even more optimistic in the long run. In terms of politics and economy, that is, in terms of factors that could support war, the rear of the Qing Dynasty was stable, and its mobilization was greater than that of Li Zicheng."
Wang Chengen slowed down and continued: "In terms of military strength, Li Zicheng claimed to be 1 million, but the actual force could be mobilized is only about 300,000. Among Li Zicheng's army, the old battalion had the strongest combat power, and could fight against the Guanning Army, but the old battalion's military strength was no more than 50,000. Most of the other rebels were mobs. As for the surrendered generals of the Ming army, they had weak fighting will and were not much higher in combat power. Li Zicheng could use the human sea tactics against the Ming army, but the human sea tactics against the Qing army were not necessarily effective. In the face of powerful cavalry, infantry without tactical qualities would be
Like a flock of sheep, the Qing cavalry entered the flock like wolves. The result is not to be found. Later German tank corps often encircled hundreds of thousands or millions of Soviet troops, which is a living example. Therefore, even if Li Zicheng mobilized 300,000 troops and 100,000 Qing soldiers, if both sides set up a formation and took it forward, Li Zicheng's chance of winning is still very low. If the mobile warfare is carried out, Beijing Jingji area is suitable for cavalry and infantry ambushing, it is extremely difficult to set up ambushing in the Qing army, so the chance of victory of the Qing army is greater. Therefore, from what I see, if nothing unexpected happens, it is only a matter of time before Li Zicheng's failure."
"According to what you said, Li Zicheng is basically out of the blue. I didn't realize that you, a military fan in later generations, are all right and have two tricks." Gong Daming was also a military fan in later generations, but compared with Du Yidian, he was a witch.
Wang Chengen smiled and said that we had not put a lot of effort into the history in the late Ming Dynasty.
"About the late Ming Dynasty, I searched all kinds of historical materials and research in later generations, and I read all the things I could find. In fact, as far as Li Zicheng's military discipline was concerned, the military discipline was still good. He did not kill indiscriminately, and basically did not plunder. After entering Beijing, the military discipline was maintained well in the early stage, and it was not as robbed as the rumors. It was only later that after a stone was defeated, the Dashun army in Beijing lost control, and large-scale plunder occurred. As for Li Zicheng's entry into Beijing, he engaged in corruption and caused corruption in military discipline and a significant reduction in combat power, I can't see it accurately. Li Zicheng really wanted to do something, and his failure actually had little to do with corruption. It should be caused by double political and military mistakes."
Chongzhen smiled and said, "So, Li Zicheng really wants to do a good job, but his level is a little worse and his ability is limited. Is that true?"
"Not bad! It's relatively naive in politics and not outstanding in military affairs. Li Zicheng is a 'rookie' and lacks talent in his hands! Strategic mistakes, strategy mistakes, and there are some foods to fight in wars. He was just because of his good luck in fighting Sun Chuanting. Li Zicheng was able to challenge Tianzhi to be lucky. It was not that he was cunning, but that Chongzhen was too... What... more... more! Wang Chengen said so quickly, forgot that Chongzhen was right in front of him, and stopped him and swallowed the word "stupid".
"If you want to say that Chongzhen is stupid, just say it! His uncle! I have made me travel through time and become this unlucky guy. I am still very depressed! Okay, brother, since you say that Li Zicheng is not good, then we can't escape, and we can't help, aren't we just watching and waiting to die?" Chongzhen was angry.
Wang Chengen was both angry and funny when he saw Chongzhen's appearance. He thought that the Ming Dynasty was thrown into your hands in a confused manner. Now that you have more than 300 years of experience in the future, your strategic vision is still so unrealized. Is it true that a group of people say - sportsman, with developed limbs and simple minds! Du Yidian knew that Gong Daming's strengths were not scheming, otherwise he would not be fooled by the Public Security Bureau and the Football Association. Chongzhen's political wisdom was average, and his strategic vision was even worse. He was just an angry young otakus scholar. Gong Daming attached himself to Chongzhen and did not bear the negative. It seems that how to play to his strengths and avoid his weaknesses is long and far! So it's better to worry more yourself. It seems that Chongzhen has to wait for him to get into the role as soon as possible.
"Your Majesty, don't worry! I think Li Zicheng's troops are energetic. Although they cannot defeat the Qing soldiers, it should be no problem to hold them up. Can we open up a second battlefield! I guess that a Zhu family emperor in Nanjing will soon as soon as the emperor ascended the throne and the Nanming will start to appear. Maybe this is our opportunity! Just like after Yingzong was captured and Daizong ascended the throne, Yingzong had the opportunity to escape. Once we can escape back to Nanming, it is entirely possible to help Nanming survive the disaster with our ability and insight. Then we accumulate strength and swear to the Northern Expedition, and maybe we can really settle the Central Plains north. So I said that the situation still has great potential, and the emperor does not have to be depressed. Think about the day when the emperor enters Beijing again, those people holding the white sticks made by Li Zicheng. If you think, if they can't find Li Zicheng, who will they look for? You have to seek reimbursement!"
Chongzhen laughed out loud, and when he saw the palace maids and the eunuchs in the distance, he hurriedly held back.
Chongzhen leaned forward and whispered, "Brother, it's not a solution for us to sit and wait like this! We have to think of a way."
Wang Chengen was very depressed about the situation of being under surveillance at all times. He was a little better. Chongzhen could be said to be very cautious here! "So what to do? I'm also thinking about a solution, but you see, there is no way to be prepared!"
Chongzhen sighed helplessly: "You have many ways to do it, think about it again."
Wang Chengen shook his head: "I can't fly. I've been dreaming about how to run out of Beijing, but I really can't do anything."
"How about you run first? I see that Li Zicheng is not strict with you, so why don't you run first. I'll find an opportunity. Instead of both of them trapped in Beijing, you might as well leave first, go to Nanjing, pass on a message, and make some preparations." Chongzhen glanced at the eunuchs and palace maids, and his voice lowered a few minutes later.
Wang Chengen said, "I'd better go with you! I'm a eunuch, what can I do when I run to Nanjing? Who can listen to you? Have you seen any civil servants in the Ming Dynasty who were convinced by eunuchs! If you were accidentally killed by those fools who fought for power and profit, then you'll have gone a lot. It's not easy to use your imperial edict. Besides, can you designate who will take over? Who can be an official? My Emperor, if you don't go out, it's just that I'm a eunuch, it's not easy to use. Only you go out and you have some influence. Don't think too much, I'll go with you. Moreover, when you have time now, you have to add some chips to Li Zicheng."
"What chips?"
"It's just to provide him with some weapons. Just like the US military provided rockets and individual missiles to Afghanistan and caused trouble for the Soviet army, it would prevent the balance from turning too far towards the Qing army." Wang Chengen said confidently.
As a military fan, Gong Daming has basic qualities: "In the era of black gunpowder, there are only a few weapons that can be used, such as Minnie bullets, or rifled guns? That is a weapon of mass destruction. Are you looking for death if you spread it?"
Wang Chengen smiled and said, "Brother knows a lot! Yes! It's just spreading, but it's not about spreading the rifled gun Minnie bullets, nor is it about spreading the rifled guns, and these can't be spread in a short time. What I want to do is grenades, but in fact this thing was found in the Song Dynasty. It's called Thunderbolt Cannon and Thunder. I'm just making some improvements. This grenade technology was given to Li Zicheng, with the purpose of giving Li Zicheng a little bit of the advantages of the Qing army and cavalry, and don't let Li Zicheng lose so quickly!"
Chongzhen smiled and said, "Well, it's not bad! Use technology to offset the barbarian's military value. In this way, weapon technology is indeed worth spreading."
Chapter completed!